The Chicago Bears are 3-1 and haven't needed Caleb Williams to get there. The Green Bay Packers are limping into Lambeau with two starting guards doubtful. Kalshi traders have the Packers at 52% to win anyway in week 5.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Bears play the Packers in Week 5 of the 2026 season?
The Bears and Packers kick off Sunday, Oct. 11, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
Who is favored to win the Bears vs. Packers Week 5 game?
The Packers beat the Jets 20-17 in overtime in Week 2. As of this writing, guard Aaron Banks and offensive lineman Jacob Monk are doubtful, while defensive tackles Javon Hargrave and Anthony Campbell and center Jager Burton are questionable.
The Bears are 3-1 under head coach Ben Johnson and have won twice with backup Tyson Bagent at quarterback while Caleb Williams recovers from a hamstring injury. Chicago beat the Jets 23-12 in Week 4. As of this writing, running back Kyle Monangai and linebacker Keyshaun Elliott are out, while Williams, cornerback Kyler Gordon, linebacker Noah Sewell and defensive lineman Shemar Turner are questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
Chicago enters as the No. 9 team in the league with a Power Score of 74.2, and Kalshi traders have the Bears at 64% to make the playoffs. Green Bay ranks 23rd with a Power Score of 29.0, and Kalshi traders have the Packers at 28% to qualify, a 14-spot gap heading into Lambeau Field.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Packers at 52% to win and the Bears at 48%.
What is the point spread for Bears vs. Packers in Week 5?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers at 44% to win by more than 1.5 points.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 51% to finish over 45.5 total points.
What is the biggest storyline in the Bears vs. Packers Week 5 game?
The sharpest storyline is Chicago's quarterback. Johnson named Bagent the starter earlier in the week, but Williams returned to limited practice Friday for the first time since his injury and, as of this writing, is questionable. Green Bay has its own concerns up front, with Banks and Monk both doubtful after returning to limited practice Friday.
What are the Bears' and Packers' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Chicago Bears: Kalshi traders have the Bears at 64% to reach the playoffs.
Green Bay Packers: Kalshi traders have the Packers at 28% to reach the playoffs.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Green Bay as a slight favorite at 52% to win, and the swing factor is whether Williams or Bagent starts for Chicago against a Packers offensive line missing its starting guards. Kalshi's prices for Bears vs. Packers will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Bears vs. Packers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 51% to finish over 45.5 total points.
What is the spread for Bears vs. Packers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers at 44% to win by more than 1.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Bears or Packers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers at 52% to win and the Bears at 48%.
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