The Buffalo Bills visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday in a Week 6 matchup between the AFC's top-scoring offense and a Raiders team that has dropped two straight. Kalshi traders have the Bills at 67% to win and the Raiders at 33%, with Buffalo arriving on a short week after a 37-34 overtime win at Los Angeles on Monday night.
The Bills are 4-1 and lead the league in scoring at 32.8 points per game, though Josh Allen has been responsible for four of the team's nine turnovers over their last three games.
Traders have Buffalo covering a 4.5-point spread at 51% and the game total at 50% over 53.5.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Bills play the Raiders in Week 6 of the 2026 season?
The Bills and Raiders kick off Sunday, Oct. 18, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
Who is favored to win the Bills vs. Raiders Week 6 game?
Buffalo is 4-1 after beating the Rams 37-34 in overtime on Monday night, with the league's highest scoring average at 32.8 points per game. They have committed nine turnovers over their last three games. As of this writing, receivers Moore (shoulder) and Joshua Palmer (shoulder) missed Monday's game.
For Las Vegas, Kirk Cousins, who left Atlanta, has 12 touchdown passes and four interceptions through five games, with rookie Fernando Mendoza behind him. The Raiders are 3-2 after consecutive losses to Kansas City and New England, the latter 45-17 on Oct. 12.
Kalshi power rankings
According to Kalshi's 2026 NFL power rankings, Buffalo enters as the No. 3 team in the league with a Power Score of 87.5 and a 92% playoff qualification price, while Las Vegas ranks 20th with a Power Score of 34.5 and a 29% playoff price, a 17-spot gap heading into the matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Bills at 67% to win and the Raiders at 33%.
What is the point spread for Bills vs. Raiders in Week 6?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 4.5 points at 51%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 53.5 total points at 50%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Bills vs. Raiders Week 6 game?
Buffalo is on a short week and staying on the West Coast after Monday night's overtime win at SoFi Stadium. The Bills' offense leads the league in scoring, while Josh Allen has been responsible for four of the team's nine turnovers over the last three games.
What are the Bills' and Raiders' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Buffalo Bills: Buffalo entered 2026 with championship expectations in Brady's first year as head coach, after seven straight playoff appearances. Allen turned 30 this offseason.
Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas entered 2026 after a 3-14 season, with Cousins as the starter and Mendoza behind him. A 3-2 start is already a step up from last season's finish.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Buffalo as a clear favorite at 67%, with the league's top scoring offense on the road. The swing factor is whether Allen protects the ball better after nine giveaways by the Bills over their last three games. Kalshi's prices for Bills vs. Raiders will keep moving as the week goes.
What are the score predictions for Bills vs. Raiders in Week 6? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 53.5 total points at 50%.
What is the spread for Bills vs. Raiders in Week 6? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 4.5 points at 51%.
Who is favored to win, Bills or Raiders? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills at 67% to win and the Raiders at 33%.
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