The Chargers visit the Seahawks on Sunday, Oct. 4, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lumen Field in Seattle. The defending Super Bowl champions host a Chargers team that is 0-3 and has turned the ball over nine times, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba is putting up one of the best starts by a receiver in NFL history. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Chargers vs. Seahawks Week 4 game?
Los Angeles is 0-3 after losses to Arizona, Las Vegas and a 24-16 defeat at Buffalo in which they won the turnover battle 5-1. Justin Herbert has 627 passing yards with three touchdowns and four interceptions, and Los Angeles has scored 44 points in three games. As of this writing, wide receiver Brenen Thompson (quad), tight end Charlie Kolar (forearm), guard Kayode Awosika (fibula) and defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson (hamstring) are out, while wide receiver Ladd McConkey (foot), safeties Derwin James (hamstring) and Elijah Molden (hamstring), cornerback Donte Jackson (concussion) and quarterback Trey Lance (groin) are questionable.
The Seahawks are 2-1 after a 33-31 loss at Washington last week ended a 12-game winning streak, with Sam Darnold returning from a glute injury to throw for 379 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the reigning Offensive Player of the Year, has six touchdowns and 405 receiving yards. As of this writing, rookie running back Jadarian Price (chest) is out, and linebacker Chazz Surratt (calf) and safety Ty Okada (hamstring) are questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
The Seahawks enter as the No. 7 team in the league with a Power Score of 71.6 and a 72% playoff qualification price, while the Chargers rank 30th with a Power Score of 14.0 and a 14% playoff price, a 23-spot gap heading into Seattle. The Seahawks have dropped four spots over the past week. See the full 2026 NFL market-implied power rankings.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win and the Chargers at 25%. Seattle is a clear favorite at home after its first loss of the season.
What is the point spread for Chargers vs. Seahawks in Week 4?
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 7.5 points at 46% as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have the over on 42.5 total points at 51% as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Chargers vs. Seahawks Week 4 game?
Herbert has thrown four interceptions to three touchdowns in three games, and Los Angeles has scored 44 points in that span, including a Week 2 loss to Las Vegas in which the Chargers fumbled six times. Seattle scored 31 points at Washington behind Darnold's 379 yards and four touchdowns, and the Seahawks now open a stretch of five home games in six weeks. Harbaugh's Chargers have not started 0-3 before, and Herbert said the offense's struggles start with him.
What are the Chargers' and Seahawks' expectations for the 2026 season?
Los Angeles Chargers: The Chargers are 0-3 for the first time under Harbaugh and are trying to avoid a hole that gets deeper. Kalshi traders have Los Angeles at 14% to make the playoffs.
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle is defending a championship after a 14-3 season. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 72% to make the playoffs and 8% to win the championship.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win, with 23 spots separating the teams in the Kalshi power rankings. Whether Los Angeles can protect the ball against Seattle's pass defense is the swing factor. Kalshi's prices for Chargers vs. Seahawks will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Chargers vs. Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the over on 42.5 total points at 51%.
What is the spread for Chargers vs. Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 7.5 points at 46%.
Who is favored to win, Chargers or Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win.
Follow Kalshi on X: @Kalshi | Image source: All-Pro Reels
The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to trade any specific product. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Trading event contracts and trading leveraged products, including perpetual futures, involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. Kalshi is not affiliated with the National Football League.
