Another member of the U.S. House is facing possible expulsion after allegations of assault. This time, it’s Rep. Cory Mills, and a fellow member of the House is seeking his expulsion.
Rep. Nancy Mace, who is also seeking the Republican gubernatorial nomination for South Carolina, filed the resolution against Mills, who is also being investigated by the House Ethics Committee over an alleged assault that a U.S. attorney appointed by President Donald Trump declined to prosecute.
Traders increased Mills’ chances of leaving the U.S. House following Mace’s resolution. The market shows a 63% chance that Mills leaves the House by Nov. 3.
Rep. Mills’ incident
The Washington Post obtained documents and body-camera footage of D.C. police responding to Mills’ incident on Feb. 19, 2025, at his Southwest Washington penthouse apartment.
Mills’ accuser made a 911 call to report a case of domestic assault. The police officer who responded to the call observed bruises on the woman’s arms and marks on her face. The woman also told officers she and Mills were having an argument when he allegedly assaulted her.
Mills was not in the apartment at the time police responded to the 911 call, but she called him on the phone. The body camera footage showed the unidentified woman saying that the person on the phone, who was later identified as Mills, wanted her to tell police that the bruises “were from our vacation and that I bruise easily.”
Police officers planned to arrest Mills until a D.C. police lieutenant ordered them not to after the woman changed her story after talking to Mills on the phone. However, police reversed course the following day and asked U.S. Attorney Ed Martin to sign a warrant for Mills’ arrest. Martin, who was appointed by President Donald Trump, denied the warrant. Trump is supporting Mills for a third term in the House.
The House Ethics Committee is currently investigating the matter as well as allegations of violating campaign finance laws, sexual misconduct, and misusing congressional resources.
Rep. Mace’s resolution
Mace filed a resolution on Monday seeking to expel Mills from Congress. Mace called the evidence against Mills “overwhelming.”
“Any Member who votes to keep him here is voting to protect a woman beater and a fraud,” Mace wrote. “He needs to be expelled immediately.”
Rep. Mills’ resolution
NOTUS reports that Mills is mulling whether to file a similar resolution against Mace, who is currently being investigated for improper reimbursement practices. Mills did not confirm NOTUS’s report. The resolution would focus on Mace’s run-in with TSA agents last October that turned into a heated “spectacle,” according to The Washington Post.
The Hill reported that an expulsion resolution requires two-thirds of the House votes to pass, “and a few Republicans do appear to be ready to back efforts to oust Mills.”
However, Mace’s chances of resigning before the midterm elections are significantly lower than Mills’ chances of leaving Congress. The market shows a 19.9% chance that Mace resigns from the House.
But expulsion push and ongoing investigation may have hurt Mace’s chances of becoming the Republican candidate for South Carolina governor. Her price in this market has dropped to 31%, behind Attorney General Alan Wilson who currently leads the race at 41%.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
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