The Philadelphia Eagles are in London without Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith or Lane Johnson. The Jacksonville Jaguars are waiting, the No. 3 team in the league riding an eight-game regular-season win streak.
Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 76% to win Sunday, Oct. 11, at 9:30 a.m. ET at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with Jacksonville as the designated home team. The game airs on NFL Network.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Eagles vs. Jaguars Week 5 game?
Jacksonville is the favorite, and Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 76% to win. The Jaguars went 13-4 and won the AFC South last season before a wild-card loss to the Buffalo Bills, and they enter Week 5 at 3-1 behind quarterback Trevor Lawrence and head coach Liam Coen. The offseason was quiet, with depth added in place of headline names, and running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. arrived from the Commanders.
Jacksonville beat the Patriots 35-6 in Week 3 and the Bengals 22-17 in Week 4. As of this writing, safety Eric Murray is listed as doubtful and cornerback Jaylon Jones is out.
The Eagles are 2-2 with Jalen Hurts at quarterback and Nick Sirianni as head coach. They won the NFC East at 11-6 last season and lost to the San Francisco 49ers in the wild-card round. The offseason sent receiver A.J. Brown to the Patriots and brought in edge rusher Jonathan Greenard from the Vikings.
After beating the Commanders and Titans, Philadelphia lost 27-7 to the Bears and 24-20 to the Rams. As of this writing, running back Saquon Barkley, receivers DeVonta Smith and Hollywood Brown, safety Marcus Epps and offensive lineman Drew Kendall are out, and Greenard is questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
According to Kalshi's 2026 NFL market-implied power rankings, Jacksonville enters as the No. 3 team in the league with a Power Score of 88.7, and Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 84% to make the playoffs. Philadelphia ranks 18th with a Power Score of 39.3, and Kalshi traders have the Eagles at 42% to qualify, a 15-spot gap heading into London.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 76% to win and the Eagles at 24%.
What is the point spread for Eagles vs. Jaguars in Week 5?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 50% to win by more than 7.5 points.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 46% to finish over 42.5 total points.
NFC East
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have Philadelphia at 35% to win the NFC East.
AFC South
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have Jacksonville at 68% to win the AFC South.
What is the biggest storyline in the Eagles vs. Jaguars Week 5 game?
The sharpest storyline is how thin Philadelphia's offense looks. Lane Johnson, a six-time Pro Bowl right tackle, announced his retirement Tuesday after 14 seasons, and rookie Markel Bell is the likely replacement. As of this writing, Barkley and Smith, the Eagles' leading rusher and receiver, are out with hamstring injuries, which leaves Will Shipley, Dameon Pierce and Carson Steele as the healthy running backs on the active roster.
What are the Eagles' and Jaguars' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Philadelphia Eagles: Kalshi traders have the Eagles at 42% to reach the playoffs.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 84% to reach the playoffs.
The takeaway
Kalshi markets now predict:
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Jacksonville as a heavy favorite at 76% to win, and the swing factor is whether a depleted Philadelphia offense can move the ball against a Jaguars defense that held the Patriots to six points and the Bengals to 17. Kalshi's prices for Eagles vs. Jaguars will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Eagles vs. Jaguars? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 46% to finish over 42.5 total points.
What is the spread for Eagles vs. Jaguars? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 50% to win by more than 7.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Eagles or Jaguars? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 76% to win and the Eagles at 24%.
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