The New York Giants have won three straight games with a backup quarterback and somehow lead the NFC East. But Kalshi traders aren't ready to crown them. The Giants visit the Washington Commanders on Sunday, Oct. 11, at 1 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium. Jayden Daniels is back under center after missing two games, and traders have the Commanders at 63% to win.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Giants play the Commanders in Week 5 of the 2026 season?
The Giants and Commanders kick off Sunday, Oct. 11, at 1 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland.
Who is favored to win the Giants vs. Commanders Week 5 game?
The Commanders went 5-12 in 2025 and are 1-3 in Dan Quinn's third year as head coach, with Jayden Daniels cleared to return from a dislocated left elbow that cost him two games. Washington fell 30-13 to the Colts in Week 4.
As of this writing, receiver Stefon Diggs, quarterback Marcus Mariota, defensive end Charles Omenihu and safeties Nick Cross, Percy Butler and Tyler Owens are out, while receiver Terry McLaurin, cornerback Trey Amos, running back Jeremy McNichols and defensive end Deatrich Wise Jr. are questionable.
The Giants are 3-1 under first-year head coach John Harbaugh and lead the NFC East. Quarterback Jaxson Dart is out for the season after knee surgery, and Jameis Winston has led wins over the Titans and Cardinals since. New York went 4-13 in 2025.
As of this writing, defensive lineman Chauncey Golston and safety Jason Pinnock are out.
Kalshi power rankings
New York enters as the No. 21 team in the league with a Power Score of 34.3, and Kalshi traders have the Giants at 27% to make the playoffs. Washington ranks 28th with a Power Score of 16.6, and Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 15% to qualify, a 7-spot gap heading into Northwest Stadium.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 63% to win and the Giants at 37%.
What is the point spread for Giants vs. Commanders in Week 5?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 50% to win by more than 3.5 points.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 52% to finish over 41.5 total points.
What is the biggest storyline in the Giants vs. Commanders Week 5 game?
The sharpest storyline is Jayden Daniels' return. Daniels, who is 3-0 against the Giants in his career, was a full participant in practice all week, and Quinn confirmed Friday that he will start. Washington will be without Diggs and, as of this writing, has McLaurin questionable with a hamstring injury. New York has no one listed as questionable, and receiver Malik Nabers and left tackle Andrew Thomas both practiced fully Friday.
What are the Giants' and Commanders' expectations entering the 2026 season?
New York Giants: Kalshi traders have the Giants at 27% to reach the playoffs.
Washington Commanders: Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 15% to reach the playoffs.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Washington as a clear favorite at 63% to win, and the swing factor is how Daniels looks in his first game back. Kalshi's prices for Giants vs. Commanders will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Giants vs. Commanders? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 52% to finish over 41.5 total points.
What is the spread for Giants vs. Commanders? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 50% to win by more than 3.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Giants or Commanders? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Commanders at 63% to win and the Giants at 37%.
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