The Seattle Seahawks turned the ball over four times in last Sunday's loss to San Francisco, with Sam Darnold throwing two interceptions. The Broncos, meanwhile, are missing their two best cornerbacks: Pat Surtain II and Talanoa Hufanga are both out, Riley Moss is questionable, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who leads the NFL with 583 receiving yards, has no injury designation.
Despite the turnover issues, Kalshi traders still lean Seattle, and price them at 57% to win tonight’s matchup.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Seahawks play the Broncos in Week 6 of the 2026 season?
The Seahawks and Broncos kick off Thursday, Oct. 15 at 8:15 p.m. ET (5:15 p.m. PT) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.
Who is favored to win the Seahawks vs. Broncos Week 6 game?
Seattle finished 14-3 last season and beat New England in Super Bowl LX. Offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak left to become the Raiders' head coach, and head coach Mike Macdonald replaced him with Brian Fleury. Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback, and he threw two interceptions in last Sunday's 32-29 loss to San Francisco, a game in which Seattle turned the ball over four times. As of this writing, linebacker Drake Thomas (ankle) is out and running back Zach Charbonnet (knee) remains on the reserve/PUP list, while receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (ankle) has no injury designation.
Denver also went 14-3 last season, earned the AFC's No. 1 seed and lost the conference title game to New England 10-7 with Jarrett Stidham at quarterback after Bo Nix broke his right ankle in the divisional round. Nix is back under center for head coach Sean Payton, who took play-calling back from first-year offensive coordinator Davis Webb after a 2-2 start, and the Broncos beat the Chargers 23-17 in Week 5. Denver acquired receiver Jaylen Waddle from Miami in the offseason. As of this writing, cornerback Pat Surtain II (ankle) and safety Talanoa Hufanga (ankle) are out, and cornerback Riley Moss (ribs) is questionable.
Kalshi Power rankings
The Seahawks enter as the No. 8 team in the league with a Power Score of 70.6, and Kalshi traders have them at 69% to qualify for the playoffs. The Broncos rank 12th with a Power Score of 60.5, and Kalshi traders have them at 64% to make the playoffs, a four-spot gap heading into the short week.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 57% to win and the Broncos at 43% as of this writing, which makes Seattle a slight road favorite.
What is the point spread for Seahawks vs. Broncos in Week 6?
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by over 2.5 points at 52% as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have the game going over 40.5 total points at 51% as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Seahawks vs. Broncos Week 6 game?
Denver's secondary is badly short-handed against the NFL's leading receiver. Surtain was ruled out Wednesday, Hufanga is out and Moss is questionable as of this writing, while Smith-Njigba has 583 receiving yards through five games and no injury designation for Thursday. Seattle has its own problem with turnovers: Darnold was intercepted on the Seahawks' third play from scrimmage against San Francisco, and the team gave the ball away four times in the loss.
What are the Seahawks' and Broncos' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Seattle Seahawks: The defending champions opened the season with a 13-10 win over New England and sit at 3-2, second in the NFC West behind the 5-0 49ers. Their two losses came against Washington and San Francisco, and Kalshi traders have them at 9% to win the Super Bowl.
Denver Broncos: The Broncos are 3-2 after opening against Kansas City, Jacksonville, Los Angeles and San Francisco, and they trail the 4-0 Chiefs in the AFC West. Kalshi traders have Denver at 4% to win the Super Bowl.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks as a slight favorite in Denver, and the swing factor is whether Seattle's passing game exploits a Broncos secondary missing Surtain and Hufanga or whether Seattle's turnover problems keep the game close. Kalshi's prices for Seahawks vs. Broncos will keep moving as kickoff nears.
What are the score predictions for Seahawks vs. Broncos? Kalshi traders have the game going over 40.5 total points at 51% as of this writing.
What is the spread for Seahawks vs. Broncos? Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by over 2.5 points at 52% as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, Seahawks or Broncos? Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 57% to win and the Broncos at 43% as of this writing.
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