The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in London, the final NFL international game of the 2026 season. Jacksonville is coming off a 19-17 win over Philadelphia at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last week, a last-second 57-yard field goal by Cam Little lifting the Jags to victory. This week, the team stays in London, this time at Wembley.
Houston, now 1-4 after a slow start, needs this game to stay relevant in the AFC South. Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 57% to win.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Texans play the Jaguars in Week 6 of the 2026 season?
The Texans and Jaguars kick off Sunday, Oct. 18, at 9:30 a.m. ET (2:30 p.m. in London) at Wembley Stadium, with Jacksonville serving as the home team.
Who is favored to win the Texans vs. Jaguars Week 6 game?
The Texans opened 0-4 before beating Tennessee 26-3 last Sunday to reach 1-4, and C.J. Stroud has six touchdown passes and no interceptions through five games. Houston then acquired wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. from Arizona. As of this writing, running back David Montgomery (groin) and safety Jalen Pitre (shoulder) carry questionable tags from the Tennessee game.
Jacksonville is 4-1 after beating Philadelphia 19-17 last Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on a 57-yard Cam Little field goal as time expired. As of this writing, left tackle Anton Harrison is on injured reserve with a knee injury, Walker Little is set to start in his place, and long snapper Ross Matiscik (shoulder) is unlikely to play.
Kalshi power rankings
Jacksonville enters as the No. 4 team in the league with a Power Score of 86.9 and an 85% playoff qualification price, while Houston ranks 21st with a Power Score of 33.0 and a 34% playoff price, a 17-spot gap heading into the final London game of the year.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 57% to win and the Texans at 44%.
What is the point spread for Texans vs. Jaguars in Week 6?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars winning by more than 2.5 points at 51%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 42.5 total points at 50%.
AFC South
Kalshi traders price Jacksonville to win the AFC South at 76%, with Houston at 16%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Texans vs. Jaguars Week 6 game?
Jacksonville stays in London for a second straight week, moving from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to Wembley after a win over Philadelphia in front of a crowd that leaned heavily toward the Eagles. Houston is making its first trip overseas since Nov. 3, 2019, when it beat these same Jaguars 26-3 at Wembley.
What are the Texans' and Jaguars' expectations?
Houston Texans: Houston arrived in 2026 as a Super Bowl hopeful after a 12-5 season that ended in the divisional round, its third straight playoff trip. The 1-4 start has changed that outlook, and the Texans sit three games behind Jacksonville in the AFC South.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Jacksonville returned most of its 13-win roster and entered the season with Trevor Lawrence in his second year under Coen. Coen said in the spring that the team believed it left wins on the table in 2025, and the Jaguars lead the AFC South at 4-1.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Jacksonville as a modest favorite at 57%, with Houston still working Marvin Harrison Jr. into its offense and the Jaguars adjusting to the loss of left tackle Anton Harrison. The swing factor is Jacksonville's reshuffled left side of the offensive line against Houston's edge rushers. Kalshi's prices for Texans vs. Jaguars will keep moving through kickoff.
What are the score predictions for Texans vs. Jaguars in Week 6? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 42.5 total points at 49%.
What is the spread for Texans vs. Jaguars in Week 6? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars winning by more than 2.5 points at 51%.
Who is favored to win, Texans or Jaguars? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Jaguars at 57% to win and the Texans at 44%.
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