One of these winless teams has to end its losing streak on Sunday, and Kalshi traders have already priced a clear favorite. The Houston Texans visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, Oct. 11, at 1 p.m. ET at Nissan Stadium, and despite C.J. Stroud going 0-4 to open the year, traders have the Texans at 76% to win.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Texans vs. Titans Week 5 game?
Houston is the favorite, and Kalshi traders have the Texans at 76% to win. The Texans went 12-5 in 2025 and reached the playoffs as a wild card, but they are 0-4 this year with C.J. Stroud at quarterback.
Stroud threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns against the Cowboys in Week 4. The offseason focused on rebuilding the offensive line through free agency and the draft.
As of this writing, receiver Tank Dell is out, while tackles Aireontae Ersery, Blake Fisher and Braden Smith, guard Ed Ingram, defensive tackle Kayden McDonald and safety M.J. Stewart are questionable.
The Titans are 0-4 under first-year head coach Robert Saleh with Cam Ward at quarterback. Tennessee went 3-14 in 2025, lost its opener to the Jets and fell 24-18 at the Ravens in Week 4.
As of this writing, safety Amani Hooker is out, while tight end David Martin-Robinson, cornerback Joshua Williams and receiver Carnell Tate are questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
Houston enters as the No. 25 team in the league with a Power Score of 24.0, and Kalshi traders have the Texans at 29% to make the playoffs. Tennessee ranks 32nd with a Power Score of 5.8, and Kalshi traders have the Titans at 2% to qualify, a 7-spot gap heading into Nissan Stadium.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Texans at 76% to win and the Titans at 24%.
What is the point spread for Texans vs. Titans in Week 5?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans at 47% to win by more than 7.5 points.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 46% to finish over 39.5 total points.
What is the biggest storyline in the Texans vs. Titans Week 5 game?
The sharpest storyline is Houston's offensive line. As of this writing, tackles Ersery and Fisher and guard Ingram are all questionable with illnesses, and tackle Smith is questionable with a foot injury, which leaves a thin group in front of Stroud. Both teams enter 0-4, so one of them will earn its first win.
What are the Texans' and Titans' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Houston Texans: The 0-4 start has changed the picture. Kalshi traders have the Texans at 29% to reach the playoffs.
Tennessee Titans: Kalshi traders have the Titans at 2% to reach the playoffs.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Houston as a heavy favorite at 76% to win, and the swing factor is whether the Texans' offensive line holds up against a Titans defense that now plays for Saleh. Kalshi's prices for Texans vs. Titans will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Texans vs. Titans? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 46% to finish over 39.5 total points.
What is the spread for Texans vs. Titans? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans at 47% to win by more than 7.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Texans or Titans? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans at 76% to win and the Titans at 24%.
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