The No. 21 LSU Tigers (6-3) are priced at 64% to beat the No. 6 Texas Longhorns (7-2) on Kalshi when the SEC teams meet Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La. Texas is 4-2 in SEC play and LSU is 3-3.
It is the first meeting between the programs since Texas joined the SEC in 2024, and Texas has not played a football game in Baton Rouge since 1953, according to Sports Illustrated. A win would put Texas in a strong position for the College Football Playoff, the Associated Press reported, while LSU's playoff hopes are slim after its loss to Alabama.
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Game snapshot
Matchup: Texas at LSU
Kickoff: Saturday, Nov. 14, 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La.
Watch: ABC
Kalshi price: 64% LSU / 36% Texas (as of this writing)
Texas vs. LSU, Saturday, November 14, 2026
Kalshi traders have LSU at 64% and Texas at 36% as of this writing, with more than $3 million in volume on the game market. Texas is the higher-ranked team in the CFP rankings and the underdog in the market.
Texas quarterback Arch Manning is 19-5 as a starter with eight wins over ranked opponents. The New Orleans native said this week he is approaching his return to Louisiana like any other game.
Texas has won three straight, including a 34-20 win at Missouri on Nov. 7, 2026, a game in which Kalshi traders had priced the Longhorns at 56%. The Longhorns' two losses were both 27-24, to Oklahoma and Florida.
LSU lost 31-13 to Alabama on Nov. 7, 2026, after Kalshi traders had priced the Tigers at 67% to win that game. The Tigers are in their first season under Lane Kiffin, and their other two losses came 35-34 at Kentucky and 32-24 at Ole Miss.
Margin of victory
Kalshi traders have LSU winning by over 4.5 points priced at 52% as of this writing.
Point total
The market has the game finishing over 46.5 points priced at 52% as of this writing.
College Football Playoff National Championship
Team | Chance to win title |
|---|---|
LSU | 4% |
Texas | 9% |
Texas is priced at 9% to win the national championship as of this writing, fifth on the board. LSU is priced at 4%.
SEC Championship
Team | Chance to win SEC |
|---|---|
LSU | <1% |
Texas | 8% |
Texas is priced at 8% to win the SEC Championship, behind Georgia at 64% and Alabama at 24%, as of this writing. LSU is priced at less than 1%.
The takeaway
Kalshi markets now predict:
When is Texas vs. LSU? Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov. 14.
Where is the game? Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La.
How can I watch? The game airs on ABC.
What is the Kalshi price for Texas vs. LSU? Kalshi traders have LSU at 64% as of this writing.
Kalshi's prices for Texas and LSU will keep moving until the game ends.
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