The Traitors Season 4 finale is scheduled to air tonight at 9 p.m. ET exclusively on Peacock. Naturally, many across America (and beyond) will tune in to see this year’s winner.
Kalshi traders are pricing in strong support for finalist Rob Rausch, who was also on Love Island season six. The contestant has been viewed as a frontrunner since January 3.
For reference, this market has seen over $3.4 million in volume.
Let’s survey the remaining contestants and their respective chances to come away with the grand prize.
Season 4 finalists
Rausch currently has a 95% probability to win this season of The Traitors.
He has thrived in his role as a traitor, bearing the title since episode one. While he was available for less than 80¢ on Tuesday, his price surged in the market this week.
Behind Rob, we see a trio of underdogs. Eric Nam (5%), Mark Ballas (2%) and Maura Higgins (2%) are all available for less than 10¢. Nam, like Rausch, is a traitor, while Ballas and Higgins are faithfuls.
Nam is a K-pop star that was once named GQ Korea’s Man of the Year. Ballas is a professional dancer/choreographer and three-time winner of Dancing with the Stars. Meanwhile, Higgins hails from the same realm as Rob, having appeared in several Love Island installments.
Mark’s odds of winning reached as high as 49% at Kalshi. However, that occurred back on January 17. Conversely, Eric recently underwent a major transformation after an ultimatum from Rausch; Nam was a member of the Faithful until episode nine. Will that plot twist affect the final outcome?
While Rob seems to be in the driver’s seat, he would be only the second traitor to win after four seasons.
Other TV trading
On the subject of reality TV, Love Is Blind also has multiple markets on Kalshi.
Currently, Victor (97%), Christine (95%) and Jordan (90%) are all priced at 90¢ or above to get married this season. Amber is now at 87¢ in that same category, which reflects a notable drop. On Wednesday morning, she was priced at 99% to get married.
The takeaway
Kalshi markets now forecast:
Who will win season four of ‘The Traitors’?
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