Last week was so dead, I had to resort to writing about a guy who locked himself in a gym and shot free throws (which was actually a lot more entertaining than it sounds).

But this week is much more interesting, assuming you're interested in things like space travel, Taylor Swift, or the fate of Eastern Europe.

8.12.25

Elon Musk's SpaceX is gearing up for its 10th attempted Starship launch. While some media outlets are claiming the spacecraft could lift off as early as this weekend, Kalshi's Starship 10 market is painting a less optimistic picture. Currently, there's only a 24% chance it will happen before August 24th. There's also only a 58% chance we'll see it launch before August 31st.

8.12.25

This morning at 12:12 AM ET, Taylor Swift announced that she will be releasing a new album entitled The Life of a Showgirl. Why 12:12? Because it's her 12th studio album!

Why does a grown man know this? Because we live in an unjust world, and while some people are forced to dig ditches to make ends meet, I get paid to know things about Taylor Swift. But thanks to Kalshi's Taylor Swift markets, you can make money off her, too!

If you have the answers, Kalshi has the cash. But remember, there's only so far new money goes.

8.12.25

Last Friday, Trump's odds of winning the Nobel Peace Prize were only at 7%, which didn't bode well for his upcoming summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin. But since then, his odds have increased to 12%, as Kalshi's traders become slightly more optimistic about the summit's outcome.

While those odds still aren't good, it's great news for anyone who bought in at 7%. And over the weekend, we added more Trump-Putin summit markets to trade, including a market on who else will attend.

Now, from what I understand, Russians like vodka... a lot, which might be an important data point when considering at least one person on this list.

📈 Market roundup

Key events this week

General

🗓️ Tuesday

🗓️ Thursday

🗓️ Friday

🗓️ Saturday

🗓️ Sunday

🚨 New & notable

New markets you might have missed.

🎲 Terry's trades...

Random markets Terry would love to trade if he didn't work here.

🗞️ Kalshi in the news

"The prediction market company Kalshi has the odds of a U.S. recession currently at 14%, down from nearly 70% on May 1."

"Those comments immediately sparked a flurry of activity that sent the odds for Hassett and Warsh higher on Kalshi."

"Here's the list of the stocks most likely to formally announce an IPO this year, according to [traders] on Kalshi:"

📣 Bryan Johnson's worst nightmare: 24/7 Kalshi

24/7 trading

If you've been looking for a reason to stare at your iPhone at 3:43 AM, I've got some good news!

You can now trade on Kalshi 24 hours a day, seven days a week (or 24/7, as the zoomers like to say). So, if there's an election in Japan, or if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are spotted canoodling at a trendy cafe in Pyongyang, you won't be stuck holding your bags until morning.

According to Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour, this has been the most requested feature from users, and it's one we're happy to deliver. Because it's not like they let us sleep, anyway.

So don't listen to Bryan Johnson! You're not going to live forever, and you can sleep when you're dead.

Follow Terry Oldreal on X: @realOldTerry
Follow Kalshi on X: @Kalshi

The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author, who is using a pseudonym and cannot trade on Kalshi. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

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