No. 19 USC, 5-1 overall and 2-1 in the Big Ten, visits Penn State, 3-2 and 0-2 in the Big Ten, at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pa., on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Kalshi traders have Penn State at 51% to win and USC at 49%, as of this writing.
Saturday's game is Penn State's annual White Out, the first under coach Matt Campbell, with more than 100,000 fans expected in white at Beaver Stadium. USC has not played there since 1994. Penn State won the last meeting between the programs, 33-30 in overtime at USC in 2024.
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Matchup: USC at Penn State
Kickoff: Saturday, Oct. 10, 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pa.
Watch: NBC and Peacock
Kalshi traders' current number: 51% Penn State / 49% USC (as of this writing)
USC vs. Penn State, Saturday, October 10, 2026
Penn State is a slight favorite on the market despite two straight losses. Kalshi traders have Penn State at 51% and USC at 49% on a market with $156,519 in volume. The same market has Penn State at 50% to score more than 27.5 points and USC at 49%.
According to Kalshi's college football power rankings, USC enters as the No. 19 team nationally while Penn State ranks 31st.
Penn State lost 34-13 at Northwestern on Oct. 2 and was outgained 506-291. Quarterback Rocco Becht went 26-of-41 for 243 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions in that game. The week before, Penn State lost 24-20 to Wisconsin after allowing two touchdowns in the final four minutes.
USC beat Washington 25-21 after trailing 21-10, and quarterback Jayden Maiava went 21-of-34 for 245 yards with one touchdown and one interception. USC coach Lincoln Riley went 4-2 against Campbell when both coached in the Big 12.
Margin of Victory
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have Penn State at 51% to win by more than 1.5 points.
Point Total
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 49% to finish over 55.5 total points.
College Football Playoff National Championship
Team | Chance to win title |
|---|---|
USC | <1% |
Penn State | <1% |
Kalshi traders have USC and Penn State each at less than 1% to win the College Football Playoff National Championship, as of this writing.
Big Ten Championship
Team | Chance to win Big Ten |
|---|---|
USC | <1% |
Penn State | <1% |
Kalshi traders have USC and Penn State each at less than 1% to win the Big Ten Championship, as of this writing. USC is 2-1 in conference play and Penn State is 0-2.
Kalshi markets now predict:
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