The Minnesota Vikings haven't lost yet. The New Orleans Saints have won once. The two meet Sunday, Oct. 11, at 1 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome, where Kyler Murray and the 4-0 Vikings visit a Saints team that has dropped three straight. The biggest question hanging over the game: whether Justin Jefferson, nursing an ankle injury, plays in his Louisiana homecoming. Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 57%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Vikings play the Saints in Week 5 of the 2026 season?
The Vikings and Saints kick off Sunday, Oct. 11, at 1 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Who is favored to win the Vikings vs. Saints Week 5 game?
Minnesota is the favorite, and Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 57% to win. The Vikings went 9-8 and missed the playoffs in 2025, then brought in Kyler Murray at quarterback.
They are 4-0 under head coach Kevin O'Connell, and their latest win was a 15-10 decision over the Dolphins in Week 4. As of this writing, tackle Christian Darrisaw and cornerback Chuck Demmings are out, while receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison and tackle Brian O'Neill are questionable.
The Saints are 1-3 under head coach Kellen Moore, with Tyler Shough at quarterback. New Orleans went 6-11 in 2025 and lost 35-27 to the Raiders in Week 3.
As of this writing, linebackers Kaden Elliss and Anfernee Jennings and guard Jeremiah Wright are out, while running back Alvin Kamara, safety Julian Blackmon, linebacker Jaylan Ford, receiver Barion Brown and cornerback Lorenzo Styles are questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
Minnesota enters as the No. 8 team in the league with a Power Score of 76.0, and Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 71% to make the playoffs. New Orleans ranks 24th with a Power Score of 26.3, and Kalshi traders have the Saints at 25% to qualify, a 16-spot gap heading into the Superdome.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 57% to win and the Saints at 43%.
What is the point spread for Vikings vs. Saints in Week 5?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 50% to win by more than 2.5 points.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 47% to finish over 42.5 total points.
What is the biggest storyline in the Vikings vs. Saints Week 5 game?
The sharpest storyline is whether Justin Jefferson plays. The Vikings receiver sprained an ankle in Week 3 at Tampa Bay, missed Week 4 and practiced on a limited basis all week. As of this writing, he is questionable. Jefferson, a Louisiana native who played at LSU, said Wednesday that he wants to play in New Orleans. Minnesota is also thin at tackle, with Darrisaw out and O'Neill questionable.
What are the Vikings' and Saints' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Minnesota Vikings: Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 71% to reach the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints: Kalshi traders have the Saints at 25% to reach the playoffs.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Minnesota as a slight favorite at 57% to win, and the swing factor is whether Jefferson plays through his ankle injury. Kalshi's prices for Vikings vs. Saints will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Vikings vs. Saints? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game at 47% to finish over 42.5 total points.
What is the spread for Vikings vs. Saints? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 50% to win by more than 2.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Vikings or Saints? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 57% to win and the Saints at 43%.
Follow Kalshi on X: @Kalshi | Image source: All-Pro Reels
The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to trade any specific product. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Trading event contracts and trading leveraged products, including perpetual futures, involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. Kalshi is not affiliated with the National Football League.
