England fell short of a World Cup title, but Kalshi traders still view Harry Kane as the favorite to win this year's Ballon d'Or.
Kane leads on the Kalshi market for the winner of this year's Ballon d'Or, the annual award presented by France Football and voted on by international journalists. Kane currently has a price of 43%, followed by Spain's Lamine Yamal at 27%, and Rodri at 15%.
For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below.
England's Harry Kane
Kalshi traders aren’t the only ones who think that Kane has a good chance of winning one of the game’s top honors.
USA Today's Jesse Yomtov picked Kane as one of the top contenders for the Ballon d'Or. Even though England finished third in this year's World Cup run, Kane scored six goals at the 2026 World Cup, bringing his World Cup career total to 14.
The striker also racked up 36 goals in 31 games, making him the Bundesliga's top scorer and “the greatest England player of all time this summer.”
The Athletic’s Jack Pitt-Brooke wrote, “The England men’s team has been playing football for 154 years, but it has never had a player quite like Harry Kane before.”
Spain's Lamine Yamal
Yamal missed time because of an injury during the World Cup, but returned to finish the tournament strongly.
He may have only racked up one goal for Spain at the World Cup, but he scored 16 goals in 28 games and made 11 assists in the La Liga league for Barcelona.
ESPN’s Suynaadh Sagar reported that he’s tied for the fourth-youngest player to win the World Cup, and the third-youngest player to appear in a World Cup final behind Pelé for Brazil in 1958.
Spain's Rodri
Although the ACL injury affected part of his season, Rodri still produced another impressive campaign.
He became the first Spaniard to win the Golden Ball, and the first Golden Ball winner to play for the World Cup-winning team since Romário in 1994 for Brazil.
Sagar called him “simply the best in the world in his role as a defensive midfielder/orchestrator. Rodri always appears to be playing in a different time zone than everybody else, and he never loses the ball.”
Looking ahead to 2030
With the 2026 World Cup complete, traders are already looking ahead to 2030.
Spain tops Kalshi’s World Cup Winner 2030 market at at 17.9%, followed by France at 12.8%, and Argentina at 8.1%.
Spain's World Cup victory helps explain why it has opened as the favorite. The team earned its second World Cup trophy on Sunday with a 1-0 score. Ferran Torres secured the win in extra time after coming on as a substitute for Mikel Oyarzabal against the reigning champions of Argentina.
Even though Argentina's goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez set a World Cup final record of 11 saves, Spain was able to keep Argentina at bay, with Lionel Messi registering the team's first shot on goal at the 117th minute.
The takeaway:
Kalshi traders now predict:
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This article may contain content generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence. It is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or legal advice. Any opinions or market commentary are not recommendations. Trading involves risk and you should carefully evaluate your financial situation and consult a qualified advisor before making any trading decisions. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or the 2026 World Cup.
