Colombia has a chance to take firm control of Group K tonight, and the path got a little clearer earlier today when Portugal routed Uzbekistan 5-0 behind a Cristiano Ronaldo brace. A win over Congo DR in Guadalajara would all but punch Colombia's ticket to the round of 32.
Kalshi traders like Colombia's chances tonight, pricing them as 65% favorites over Congo DR, with a tie at 24% and a Congo DR win at 14%.
For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or the 2026 World Cup.
What's at stake
Colombia opened the tournament with a 3-1 win over Uzbekistan and sit atop Group K on three points. A win tonight would push them to six points and all but secure their place in the round of 32 before their group finale against Portugal on June 27 in Miami.
Congo DR enter on the back of a historic 1-1 draw with Portugal, their first World Cup point since returning to the tournament after 52 years. A win or draw tonight would keep their knockout hopes alive heading into a final group match against Uzbekistan.
Portugal's 5-0 win over Uzbekistan earlier today moved them to four points and atop the group on goal difference, meaning Colombia's result tonight directly shapes who controls Group K heading into matchday three.
Colombia eyes control of the group
Luis Díaz scored and assisted in Colombia's 3-1 win over Uzbekistan, becoming just the second Colombian to record a goal and an assist in a single World Cup match, according to Opta. Daniel Muñoz and Jaminton Campaz also found the net as Colombia pulled away in stoppage time.
"That's what we came here to do," Díaz said after the win.
Díaz remains the focal point of Néstor Lorenzo's attack, with James Rodríguez and Luis Suárez offering experienced support in the final third. Lorenzo's side have won eight of their last 11 matches, seven of those by multiple goals.
Congo DR ride a historic high
Congo DR's Yoane Wissa scored the country's first-ever World Cup goal in stoppage time to salvage a point against Portugal, a result that head coach Sébastien Desabre called a reward for his team's effort. Flashscore reported Desabre praised his players for sticking to the game plan that earned the draw.
"The players showed incredible commitment and selflessness," Desabre said after the result.
Despite having just 25% possession against Portugal, Congo DR out-shot their more heavily fancied opponents and will look to repeat that compact, counter-attacking approach against a faster, more direct Colombia side tonight.
The bigger picture
Beyond tonight's match, Colombia's World Cup title odds sit at 13% on Kalshi, tied with Argentina for second behind France's 20%. England sits at 10% and Portugal at 8%, rounding out the tournament's current top tier of contenders.
In the Group K winner market, Portugal currently leads at 56% to Colombia's 41%, with Congo DR a distant third at 3%, reflecting how today's 5-0 win over Uzbekistan reshuffled the group ahead of the June 27 finale between Colombia and Portugal.
Kalshi markets now predict:
This article may contain content generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence. It is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, financial, or legal advice. Any opinions or market commentary are not recommendations. Trading involves risk and you should evaluate your financial situation and consult a qualified advisor before making any trading decisions. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or the 2026 World Cup.
