Dodgers vs. Mets odds: Traders price LA as heavy favorites in game two at Citi Field

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter game two of their series against the New York Mets at Citi Field as heavy favorites on Kalshi. Traders price LA at 60% to win against a New York team that just lost its best hitter.

^{For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with MLB.}

The Dodgers enter at 66-38, the best record in baseball, having recently taken series from both the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees. Friday's 4-2 win behind Roki Sasaki put them up 1-0 in this three-game set.

New York sits in last place in the NL East. The situation darkened further on Saturday when the Mets placed Juan Soto on the 10-day injured list with a left calf strain, an MRI confirming what the team feared after he exited Friday's loss in the sixth inning.

One early estimate puts his recovery at 4-6 weeks. The five-time All-Star was hitting .283 with 21 home runs and 52 RBI before going down, and his absence leaves a significant hole in a lineup that was already struggling.

"We certainly hoped we were behind it and done talking about this," interim manager Andy Green told MLB.com on Friday night, before Saturday's MRI confirmed the strain.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the ball for Los Angeles carrying a 10-6 record and a 2.78 ERA. The reigning World Series MVP is fresh off his first regular-season complete game, going nine innings against the Yankees last Sunday and allowing just two runs in an 8-2 win, and will face a Mets lineup missing its best hitter.

New York counters with Nolan McLean, the 24-year-old rookie who has been one of the few bright spots in a miserable Mets season. McLean is 7-6 with a 3.34 ERA across 20 starts and has surrendered just two earned runs across his last four outings. The Oklahoma State product has punched out 135 batters, 11th in the NL, and brings a five-pitch mix that can keep lineups off balance.

Tonight's game sits inside two very different division pictures. Traders give the Dodgers a 99% chance to win the NL West, a market that has essentially been closed all season. The San Diego Padres are a distant second at 2%.

The NL East tells a starker story for New York. The Mets sit at just 1% to win their own division, with the Atlanta Braves commanding 72% and the Philadelphia Phillies at 28%. New York's playoff path has all but evaporated.

Los Angeles leads the World Series market as well. Traders give the Dodgers a 33% chance to win it all, more than double their nearest competitor. The New York Yankees sit second at 12%, followed by the Milwaukee Brewers at 9% and the Braves at 8%.

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^{This content is generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this article constitutes financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market probabilities reflect real-money crowd sentiment and may not accurately predict outcomes. Kalshi is not affiliated with Major League Baseball. Always trade responsibly.}