Former reality TV star Spencer Pratt has mounted a campaign for Los Angeles Mayor against Democratic incumbent Karen Bass, and he's seeking endorsements from prominent conservative voices.
But who will endorse the upstart candidate?
Trump’s endorsement
President Donald Trump's endorsement market puts the chances of an official endorsement for Pratt's campaign at 35%.
Republican endorsements
Pratt could also pick up endorsements from high-profile Republicans before the June primary, such as former U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene at 40%, political strategist Steve Bannon at 26%, and conservative pundit Tucker Carlson at 16%.
The primary
Los Angeles voters will narrow the field of 13 mayoral candidates down to two in the June primary. Karen Bass leads the advancement market with a 93% chance of advancing, followed by Pratt at 81%, and Raman at 11%.
The Los Angeles mayoral race
However, if Pratt does manage to advance, he still has his work cut out for him.
The market for the Los Angeles mayoral election shows Karen Bass with a sizeable lead at 60%, followed by Pratt at 26%, and Los Angeles councilwoman Nithya Raman at 17%.
The polling
Polling for the mayoral race closely mirrors the Kalshi market. The Los Angeles Times reports that a new poll from Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics puts Bass’s support at 30% among likely voters. Pratt finished second at 22%, gaining 12 points since the previous poll. Raman finished third at 20%.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
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