The end of the year is full of traditions, like crafting resolutions, shopping for holiday gifts, and prepping hangover treatments for New Year’s Day. And for music fans, Spotify Wrapped is now one of those end-of-year traditions.
Thus far, the music and podcast streaming service has not announced a release date for its ninth annual system-wide and personalized music trend wrap-up. But here’s when Kalshi traders think it will be released.
The opinions expressed are solely the author’s, not those of Kalshi Inc. or its affiliates, and do not constitute trading or investment advice. See full disclaimer below.
When can we “wrap things up”?
Spotify has released its Wrapped feature between Nov. 29-Dec. 6 in the last nine years. So far, there hasn’t been any hint or indication of a solid release date, but Spotify has a website in place teasing 2025’s annual wrap-up of the year’s music trends.
Traders are currently pricing the market at 98 cents each for Spotify to release its interactive Wrapped feature before Dec. 7 or 8. Shares are trading 94 cents on a release before Dec. 6 and 92 cents before Dec. 4. But there’s only a 16% chance fans see it before December 3rd, suggesting a possible Wednesday release.
Who’s on top?
Traders are also confident about which album and artist will take the top spots on Spotify Wrapped once it is released.
Country singer Morgan Wallen’s I’m the Problem is at 93 cents as the most listened to album on Spotify this past year. Bad Bunny’s DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS finished in a very distant 6 cents followed by Taylor Swift’s The Life of a Showgirl at 3 cents.
The results differ for the year’s top artist on Spotify. Bad Bunny is the clear leader, so far, among traders at 97 cents followed by Taylor Swift at 2 cents. Kendrick Lamar, The Weeknd, Chappell Roan, Drake, Bruno Mars, Wallen and Beyoncé all place at less than 1 cent each among traders.
It’s no surprise Morgan and Bad Bunny ranked so high among Kalshi traders. Both had stellar years with respective albums in 2025. Wallen’s I’m the Problem album spent 27 weeks on the top of Billboard’s Top Country Albums chart and 12 weeks on the top of the Billboard 200 chart.
Bad Bunny’s sixth solo album DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS spent more than 20 weeks in the top 10 of the Billboard 200 chart and he’ll perform the first predominantly Spanish-language performance at the Super Bowl. DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS also won best album of the year at the 2025 Latin Grammys. Bad Bunny also picked up six nominations for next year’s Grammys, including Record, Album and Song of the Year, making him the first Spanish-language artist to receive all three nominations in a single year.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now forecast:
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The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.