According to Kalshi traders, there’s a good chance that Time magazine may have to rename its annual “Person of the Year'“ recognition for 2025, since a “person” may not be involved.
Time is expected to announce its pick sometime in early December, and traders currently put artificial intelligence, also known as AI, at the top of the list for this year’s honor.
Non-person of the year
Traders price artificial intelligence (AI) chance to become Time’s next “Person of the Year” at 39 cents, followed by NVIDIA president and chief executive officer Jensen Huang at 30 cents, and Pope Leo XIV at 15 cents.
ChatGPT, the only other non-human candidate on the “Person of the Year” prediction market, also scored a spot at 4 cents.
So you’re telling me there’s a chance?
However, while AI may be at the top of the list, it is still more likely that a human (any human) will win out. Kalshi’s specific market on the matter shows a 64% chance that the “Person of the Year” will be an actual person, which is down 12.5 cents since trading began.
Woman of the year
However, traders aren’t very bullish on a woman becoming 2025’s “Person of the Year.” The current market shows only an 8% chance of a female winner.
U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, who made a noticeable split with President Donald Trump during the government shutdown over continuing health care subsidies and the release of the Jeffrey Epstein list, sits at 2 cents. Other women on the list, including pop star Taylor Swift, Russian opposition leader Yulia Navalnaya, and Advanced Micro Devices CEO Lisa Su, are currently priced at less than 1%.
The past and future of AI
Those odds reflect a broader shift toward AI’s influence this year.
The AI boom of 2025 is sure to leave a defining mark on history with companies like NVIDIA, Microsoft, ChatGPT, and Apple contributing new technologies to the growing trend. Google announced earlier this month it would invest $40 billion in new cloud and AI infrastructure in Texas through 2027.
Unfortunately, AI’s growth may come at the expense of America’s workforce. A recent study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) found that AI can replace 11.7% of the U.S. labor market and eliminate $1.2 trillion in wages. These losses could have huge impacts on the workforces in industries such as finance, health care and professional services.
AI has also become an integral part of the U.S. economy at a time when other industries saw massive layoffs and cutbacks. Brookings Institution economist Mark Muro, who studies technology’s impact on the U.S. economy, told The New York Times that AI has created “a two-track economy. This AI gold rush is generating all the excitement and papering over a drift in the rest of the economy." His comment highlights concerns that while AI drives rapid growth in tech sectors, other parts of the workforce may be left behind.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now forecast:
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