Kalshi traders have the Buffalo Bills at 79% to win and the New York Jets at 21% in a Week 10 AFC East game between a 7-1 Buffalo team that has won four straight and a 2-7 New York team that has lost four in a row. The Bills lead the NFL in scoring at 32 points per game, while running back James Cook ranks fifth in the league with 814 rushing yards.
The Jets lead the league with 13 forced fumbles, and rookie edge rusher David Bailey has 7.5 sacks, so ball security is a live question for Buffalo. Jets receiver Garrett Wilson is active after missing the Kansas City game with a concussion, Bills right tackle Spencer Brown is active after being listed as doubtful, and Kalshi's power rankings put Buffalo 25 spots ahead of New York.
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When and where do the Bills play the Jets in Week 10 of the 2026 season?
The Bills and Jets kick off Sunday, Nov. 15, at 1 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J.
Who is favored to win the Bills vs. Jets Week 10 game?
Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is 7-1 under head coach Joe Brady and has won four straight, most recently 23-6 at Minnesota on Monday, Nov. 9. Josh Allen is the starting quarterback. Right tackle Spencer Brown (ankle) is active after being listed as doubtful, according to the Bills, while left tackle Dion Dawkins and guard Alec Anderson are active after missing the Minnesota game and tight end Dalton Kincaid (ankle) is also active. Kalshi traders have the Bills at 79%, with the league's top-scoring offense and the 7-1 record driving the price and offensive line health the main question.
New York Jets: New York is 2-7 under head coach Aaron Glenn and has lost four straight, most recently 35-12 at Kansas City on Nov. 8. Geno Smith is the starting quarterback. Receiver Garrett Wilson (concussion), who missed the Kansas City game, is active after being listed as questionable, as are receivers Omar Cooper Jr. (ankle) and Adonai Mitchell (knee), defensive end Joseph Ossai (ankle) and cornerback Nahshon Wright (back), while linebacker Trevin Wallace (groin) is inactive. Kalshi traders have the Jets at 21%, with the four-game skid and a run defense that ranks 26th in the NFL holding the price down.
Kalshi power rankings
Buffalo enters as the No. 2 team in the league with a Power Score of 95.7 and a 97% playoff qualification price, while New York ranks 27th with a Power Score of 12.6 and a 2% playoff price, a 25-spot gap heading into the AFC East matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Bills at 79% to win and the Jets at 21%.
What is the point spread for Bills vs. Jets in Week 10?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 7.5 points at 50%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 50.5 total points at 52%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Bills vs. Jets Week 10 game?
The biggest storyline is Buffalo's ball security against a Jets defense that leads the NFL with 13 forced fumbles. Bailey has five forced fumbles, tied for the league lead, along with his 7.5 sacks, while Cook's 814 rushing yards rank fifth in the NFL against a Jets run defense that ranks 26th.
What are the Bills' and Jets' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is 7-1 with wins over Houston, Detroit, the Chargers, the Rams, Las Vegas, Baltimore and Minnesota, and Kalshi traders have the Bills at 97% to make the playoffs. After the Jets they host Miami on Nov. 22, host Kansas City on Thanksgiving, Nov. 26, visit New England on Dec. 6 and visit Green Bay on Dec. 13.
New York Jets: New York is 2-7 with wins over Tennessee and Cleveland, and Kalshi traders have the Jets at 2% to make the playoffs. After Buffalo they visit the Chargers on Nov. 22, visit Miami on Nov. 29, have a Week 13 bye and host Denver on Dec. 13.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Buffalo as a heavy favorite at 79%, with the NFL's top-scoring offense facing a Jets team on a four-game losing streak. The swing factor is whether Buffalo holds onto the ball against a Jets defense that leads the league in forced fumbles, with Brown back at right tackle after being listed as doubtful. Kalshi's prices for Bills vs. Jets will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Bills vs. Jets in Week 10? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 50.5 total points at 52%.
What is the spread for Bills vs. Jets in Week 10? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 7.5 points at 50%.
Who is favored to win, Bills or Jets? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills at 79% to win and the Jets at 21%.
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