The Dolphins travel to Allegiant Stadium to open the 2026 NFL season against the Raiders, kicking off Sunday, Sept. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET. Kalshi traders have Las Vegas at 60% to win, with Miami priced at 40%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Dolphins play the Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026 season?
Kickoff is Sunday, Sept. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
Who is favored to win the Dolphins vs. Raiders season opener?
Las Vegas enters under new leadership after a rough debut season for Pete Carroll. The Raiders went 3-14 in 2025 and fired Carroll after just one year, hiring former Seahawks offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. The team also traded quarterback Geno Smith to the Jets and used the No. 1 overall pick on Indiana's Fernando Mendoza. However, veteran Kirk Cousins has been named the Week 1 starter, with Mendoza developing behind him.
Miami enters a similar reset. The Dolphins went 7-10 in 2025, missing the playoffs for a second straight year, and fired both general manager Chris Grier and head coach Mike McDaniel. First-time NFL head coach Jeff Hafley takes over, and the team moved on from longtime starter Tua Tagovailoa; Malik Willis is set to open the season as the starting quarterback.
Kalshi Power rankings
According to Kalshi's 2026 NFL market-implied power rankings, the Raiders enter as the No. 27 team in the league with a Power Score of 21.6 and a 16% playoff qualification price, while the Dolphins rank 31st with a Power Score of 19.0 and a 6% playoff price, a 4-spot gap heading into Miami's Week 1 trip to Las Vegas.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi's contracts trade in cents, and each one pays out $1 if the outcome happens. A contract trading at 60 cents reflects a market-implied 60% probability.
As of this writing, the winner market has the Raiders at 60% and the Dolphins at 40%.
What is the point spread for Dolphins vs. Raiders in Week 1?
Kalshi traders have the Raiders favored to win by more than 3.5 points at 46%.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have the game going over 40.5 combined points at 50%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Dolphins vs. Raiders season opener?
Both teams are starting over at quarterback and head coach. Las Vegas is breaking in Kirk Cousins as a bridge to rookie Fernando Mendoza, while Miami hands the offense to Malik Willis under a first-time NFL head coach in Jeff Hafley.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders currently have the Raiders as favorites at home, with both teams in the early stages of a roster and coaching reset. Kalshi's prices for Dolphins vs. Raiders will keep moving until the game has ended.
What are the score predictions for the Dolphins vs. Raiders game? Kalshi traders have the game going over 40.5 combined points at 50%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for the Dolphins vs. Raiders game? Kalshi traders have the Raiders favored to win by more than 3.5 points at 46%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Dolphins or the Raiders? Kalshi traders have the Raiders favored, at 60% to the Dolphins' 40%.
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