Oklahoma vs. Michigan odds: No. 11 Sooners favored in Big Noon showdown

No. 11 Oklahoma visits Michigan on Saturday at 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX's Big Noon Kickoff, and Kalshi traders have the Sooners favored at 65% as of this writing. Both teams enter 1-0. Oklahoma shut out UTEP 51-0 in its opener, while Michigan needed a second chance at a Hail Mary to escape with a 13-12 win over Western Michigan.

This is the second meeting of a home-and-home series, with Oklahoma having won last year's opener in Norman 24-13. Both programs are looking to establish themselves near the top of their conferences this season, and Oklahoma enters ranked No. 11 nationally while Michigan is unranked after dropping out of the AP poll entirely following its controversial season opener.

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Kalshi traders have Oklahoma priced at 65% to beat Michigan, a wide gap that reflects both a perceived talent edge and the shakiness of Michigan's own season opener. The Sooners' defense limited UTEP to 198 total yards in a shutout, while Michigan's offense managed only 276 yards in a game it nearly lost outright, a split performance level that shows up directly in the pricing.

Oklahoma's offensive line looks different than it did against UTEP. Center Jake Maikkula, who missed the opener with a knee injury, is confirmed to start Saturday, and sophomore Ryan Fodje is set to start at left tackle in place of Michael Fasusi. Fasusi, who aggravated a shoulder injury against UTEP, has been ruled out for Saturday, and freshman Noah Best, who started at center in Week 1, shifts over to right guard.

Michigan's win over Western Michigan came under a cloud that has followed the Wolverines into this week. After a Hail Mary appeared to sail out of bounds as time expired, officials put one second back on the clock, and Bryce Underwood connected with JJ Buchanan on the ensuing play for the winning score. The Mid-American Conference has formally appealed to the NCAA and the College Football Playoff committee to have Western Michigan recognized as the result's rightful winner, though the NCAA rulebook does not permit overturning a final score. The controversy contributed to Michigan falling out of the AP poll entirely this week after entering the season ranked.

The stat gap between the two teams' openers is stark: Oklahoma outgained UTEP 401 yards to 198 in the shutout, while Michigan actually outgained Western Michigan 276 yards to 221 despite trailing 12-7 before its final-play touchdown. Michigan will need a sharper offensive performance from Underwood against a Sooners defense that was one of the country's best last season.

Oklahoma winning by more than 4.5 points is priced at 50% on Kalshi as of this writing, an even split on the margin despite the lopsided win-probability number.

The market has the game going over 43.5 combined points priced at 50%, a number that reflects two defenses that performed well in Week 1.

Oklahoma is priced at 4% to win the College Football Playoff National Championship, while Michigan is priced at 1%, reflecting the wide gap in national title expectations between the two programs entering Saturday.

Michigan is priced at 4% to win the Big Ten Championship, a modest number for a team that entered the season with hopes of contending under first-year coach Kyle Whittingham.

Kalshi markets now predict:

When is Oklahoma vs. Michigan? The game kicks off Saturday, Sept. 12 at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Where is the game? Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

How can I watch? The game airs on FOX.

What is Kalshi traders' current number? Kalshi traders have Oklahoma priced at 65% and Michigan at 35% as of this writing.

Oklahoma enters as a heavy favorite over an unranked Michigan team still working through the fallout of its controversial season-opening win.

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