No. 6 Oregon travels to Stillwater on Saturday for a noon ET kickoff on ESPN, and Kalshi traders have the Ducks favored at 94% as of this writing. Oregon enters 1-0 after a 34-27 win over Boise State, while Oklahoma State is 0-1 following a 24-10 loss at Tulsa in new coach Eric Morris's debut.
This is the second game of a home-and-home series, with Oregon having routed the Cowboys 69-3 in Eugene last season. Oregon is coming off a run to last year's College Football Playoff semifinals and remains a national title contender, while Oklahoma State is rebuilding after a 1-11 season that cost Mike Gundy his job.
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Matchup: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 12, 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Watch: ESPN
Kalshi traders' current number: 94% Oregon / 7% Oklahoma State (as of this writing)
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State, Saturday, September 12, 2026
Kalshi traders have Oregon priced at 94% to beat Oklahoma State, among the widest gaps of the week. The number reflects both a significant talent difference between a national title contender and a rebuilding program, and Oklahoma State's uneven Week 1 showing against Tulsa, when the Cowboys were stopped four times on fourth down and turned the ball over four times.
Oklahoma State will be without starting left tackle Jacob Sexton for the remainder of the season after he suffered a broken leg five plays into the Tulsa game. Coach Eric Morris called Sexton the team's best offensive lineman, and the Cowboys' updated depth chart lists Desmond Magiya or Shaun Torgeson replacing him ahead of Saturday's game.
Morris's first season in Stillwater is off to a rocky start after the Tulsa loss extended Oklahoma State's losing streak to 12 games dating to last year, and Saturday marks his first home game as head coach against one of the country's most complete rosters. The Cowboys brought in 62 transfers this offseason, including quarterback Drew Mestemaker, but the new-look roster has yet to find cohesion behind an offensive line now missing its top starter.
Oregon's own opener wasn't fully convincing despite the final score. The Ducks were tied with Boise State at 24 entering the fourth quarter before a 62-yard touchdown from Dakorien Moore put the game away, and quarterback Dante Moore finished with 378 passing yards in a game that stayed within one score into the final period. Oklahoma State's defense will look to replicate the pressure Boise State generated for much of that game.
Margin of victory
Oregon winning by more than 23.5 points is priced at 51% on Kalshi as of this writing, an even split on the margin despite the lopsided win-probability number.
Point total
The market has the game going over 55.5 combined points priced at 49%, a pick 'em on the total.
College Football Playoff National Championship
Oregon is priced at 11% to win the College Football Playoff National Championship, placing the Ducks among the market's top contenders. Oklahoma State is priced at 1%.
Big Ten Championship
Oregon is priced at 24% to win the Big Ten Championship, second behind Ohio State among conference contenders.
Kalshi markets now predict:
Oregon priced at 11% to win the College Football Playoff National Championship
Oregon priced at 24% to win the Big Ten Championship
When is Oregon vs. Oklahoma State? The game kicks off Saturday, Sept. 12 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Where is the game? Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma.
How can I watch? The game airs on ESPN.
What is Kalshi traders' current number? Kalshi traders have Oregon priced at 94% and Oklahoma State at 7% as of this writing.
Oregon enters as one of the week's heaviest favorites, facing an Oklahoma State team already down its top offensive lineman in the early going of a rebuilding season.
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