The Packers travel to U.S. Bank Stadium to open the 2026 NFL season against the Vikings, kicking off Sunday, Sept. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET. Kalshi traders have Minnesota at 56% to win, with Green Bay priced at 44%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Packers play the Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026 season?
Kickoff is Sunday, Sept. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
Who is favored to win the Packers vs. Vikings season opener?
Minnesota is a narrow favorite at home behind a new starting quarterback. The Vikings finished 9-8 in 2025 and missed the playoffs, with J.J. McCarthy going 6-4 in 10 starts while managing multiple injuries in his first year as a full-time starter. Minnesota signed Kyler Murray, released by Arizona after a foot injury cut his 2025 season to five games, to a one-year deal in March, and head coach Kevin O'Connell named Murray the starter over McCarthy in August following a three-month competition.
Green Bay went 9-7-1 in 2025, entered the playoffs as the No. 7 seed, and lost in the wild-card round at Chicago. Quarterback Jordan Love missed time with an MCL sprain, a groin injury and an elbow injury but finished the season strong, throwing for 323 yards and four touchdowns in the playoff loss. Head coach Matt LaFleur and general manager Brian Gutekunst both received contract extensions this offseason and have said the offense will be rebuilt from the ground up to fix its late-game struggles.
Kalshi Power rankings
According to Kalshi's 2026 NFL market-implied power rankings, the Vikings enter as the No. 17 team in the league with a Power Score of 28.9 and a 43% playoff qualification price, while the Packers rank 13th with a Power Score of 32.7 and a 55% playoff price, a 4-spot gap heading into Green Bay's Week 1 trip to Minneapolis.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi's contracts trade in cents, and each one pays out $1 if the outcome happens. A contract trading at 56 cents reflects a market-implied 56% probability.
As of this writing, the winner market has the Vikings at 56% and the Packers at 44%.
What is the point spread for Packers vs. Vikings in Week 1?
Kalshi traders have the Vikings favored to win by more than 1.5 points at 53%.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have the game going over 45.5 combined points at 50%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Packers vs. Vikings season opener?
Minnesota's quarterback change is the headline. Kyler Murray, cut loose by Arizona after a foot injury ended his 2025 season early, beat out J.J. McCarthy for the starting job in August and makes his Vikings debut in this opener.
What are the Packers' and Vikings' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Packers: Green Bay finished 9-7-1 in 2025 and reached the playoffs as the No. 7 seed before losing at Chicago in the wild-card round. Matt LaFleur and Brian Gutekunst both received contract extensions this offseason, and LaFleur has said the offense will be rebuilt to address its late-season fade.
Vikings: Minnesota finished 9-8 in 2025 and missed the playoffs despite a five-game winning streak to close the year. The team moved on from J.J. McCarthy as the starter this offseason, naming newly signed Kyler Murray the QB1 instead; how quickly Murray adapts to Minnesota's offense is the swing factor for 2026.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders currently have the Vikings as slight favorites at home, with each team's late-season collapse from 2025 the shared storyline heading into 2026. Kalshi's prices for Packers vs. Vikings will keep moving until the game concludes.
What are the score predictions for the Packers vs. Vikings game? Kalshi traders have the game going over 45.5 combined points at 50%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for the Packers vs. Vikings game? Kalshi traders have the Vikings favored to win by more than 1.5 points at 53%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Packers or the Vikings? Kalshi traders have the Vikings favored, at 56% to the Packers' 44%.
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