The Los Angeles Dodgers (69-40) host the Boston Red Sox (57-51) on Friday at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with first pitch set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Kalshi's market has the Dodgers at 57% and the Red Sox at 45%, as of this writing.
Los Angeles enters with the best record in baseball and a comfortable hold on first place in the NL West. Boston sits third in the AL East, well back of Tampa Bay, but the visit carries weight as the opener of a three-game series the Red Sox need to keep their season on track outside their own division.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with MLB.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: July 31, 2026.
The gap between the records and the market number comes down to how Los Angeles is using its pitching staff tonight. Ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto is being held back for Saturday, leaving the Dodgers to open with reliever Edgardo Henriquez in a planned bullpen game, while Boston sends Ranger Suarez to the mound in just his second start since returning from a left groin strain and an illness.
Both rosters are dealing with rotation losses. The Dodgers are without Tyler Glasnow (60-day IL, back) and Blake Snell (60-day IL, elbow), and closer Blake Treinen remains on the 15-day IL with an elbow issue, per Fox Sports 990. Boston is missing Garrett Crochet (60-day IL) and top prospect Roman Anthony (60-day IL, wrist), with infielder Marcelo Mayer also out on a 10-day IL stint for a forearm issue.
Suarez threw four scoreless innings on 64 pitches in his return last Sunday against Toronto, striking out six, per the Boston Globe. He carries a 3.02 ERA and 103 strikeouts over his first 95.1 innings this season. Henriquez, working almost exclusively in relief, has a 2.79 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 42 strikeouts in 42 innings this season.
Both clubs arrive hot. Boston is 7-3 over its last 10 games after a 15-game winning streak ended, per ESPN, while Los Angeles is 6-2 over its last eight games and is riding a modest two-game winning streak, per NBC Sports. Shohei Ohtani is 12-for-41 with a homer and seven RBI over his last 10 games for the Dodgers, while Willson Contreras leads Boston with 23 home runs and a .549 slugging mark this season.
Boston's postseason odds
The Red Sox currently hold the second AL wild card spot at 57-51, one game ahead of Cleveland and four back of the Yankees for the top spot, per Sports Brackets' live standings. Kalshi's market has Boston at 74% to make the playoffs.
Los Angeles' World Series odds
Los Angeles, winners of the last two World Series, carries the best record in the majors into August, per the Boston Globe. Kalshi's market has Los Angeles at 36% to win the World Series, still the clear favorite in the field.
Kalshi markets now predict:
Los Angeles opens as the favorite at 57% Friday, with a bullpen night against a Boston lineup that has been one of the sport's hottest over the past month, and both teams' October paths are shaping up as real stories in their own right.
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*AI-assisted content. Kalshi markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Not financial advice.
