Tatyana Ali bounced back from a low 12/30 score on night two of the Dancing with the Stars season 35 premiere with an 18/30 in episode 3, but that is not enough for Kalshi traders to have confidence in her staying power. Traders forecast a 41% chance that she will be eliminated from the reality competition series in Tuesday's episode.
Behind her in the market are Tyler Cameron at 30%, Guillermo Rodriguez at 19% and Ciara Miller at 18%. Cameron scored below both Ali and Miller last week at 16/30, while Rodriguez tied for the lowest score of the night at 12/30.
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What happened in episode 3?
After her 12/30 in the season premiere, Tatyana Ali scored 18/30 in episode 3 with a foxtrot to “What Was I Made For?” by Billie Eilish. Judge Derek Hough called the routine “absolutely beautiful” and “ethereal,” while Carrie Ann Inaba's one-word critique was “touching.”
Vulture recapper Maggie Fremont also praised her episode 3 performance, calling Ali “graceful” and adding that “her arms look great, and she emotes the hell out of this dance.” Colleen Kratofil at People noted that her foxtrot was “poignant.”
The recappers were less kind about Cameron's performance. Fremont mostly agreed with the judges' mixed feedback, adding that “there was no real flow to this routine.”
Both Ali and Miller were confirmed to be moving on to the next round early on during the elimination portion of the episode, while Cameron found himself in the bottom three.
Rodriguez landed in the bottom three after tying for the lowest score last week, and traders give him a 19% chance of being eliminated, third in the market ahead of Miller at 18%.
Episode 4 airs Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+. The theme moves from last week's viral hits to “Yacht Rock Night,” with routines set to soft-rock classics.
The path to the finals
Paralympian Ezra Frech leads the market to win season 35 at 45%.
Behind him are Maura Higgins at 14%, and Jenna Dewan and Harry Shum Jr. tied at 11%. Higgins and Dewan have both had strong showings across the first three episodes and placed in the top five last week. Dewan scored 21/30, tying Frech and Amber Glenn for first.
A separate market on which celebrities will qualify for the season 35 finale prices Frech at 90%, ahead of Higgins and Shum Jr., who are tied at 87%.
The takeaway:
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