How to Bet on the Grammys

The 67th Annual Grammy Awards honors the year's best albums, songs, and artists across a wide range of genres. Through Kalshi, you can trade on Grammy outcomes—betting on how many awards your favorite artist will win, which genres will dominate, and who will claim the night’s biggest prize. Here’s how to use your music industry knowledge to make strategic, profitable trades.

Trading on the Grammys with Kalshi allows you to buy and sell event contracts tied to specific award outcomes, turning your predictions into strategic opportunities. For instance, you can trade on markets like “Will Taylor Swift win Album of the Year” or “Will Kendrick Lamar win Best Rap Performance” and profit from your correct predictions.

Each contract is priced between $0.01 and $0.99, representing the market’s consensus on the probability of the outcome. For example, if a YES contract for “Will Beyoncé win Best Country Album?” is priced at $0.75, the market estimates a 75% chance that she will win. If you buy at this price and she takes home the Grammy, the contract will settle at $1.00, earning you a $0.25 profit per contract.

As a CFTC-regulated platform, Kalshi ensures all trading is secure, transparent, and compliant with federal regulations.

Getting started with trading on Kalshi is quick and easy! Begin by visiting Kalshi.com/sign-up to create your account.

Next, you will deposit funds into your Kalshi account. Remember that deposits may take up to 4 business days via bank transfer (although instant transfer methods and crypto are available), so plan ahead to ensure you’re ready to trade before Grammy night.

Depositing funds into your Kalshi account is simple and flexible, with multiple methods to suit your needs. You can deposit via bank transfer, debit card, cryptocurrency, or wire transfer. To get started, visit the Transfers page on your Kalshi account, select your preferred deposit method, and follow the instructions provided.

Identity verification is a quick but crucial step to ensure Kalshi remains a secure and fully compliant platform. All Kalshi traders must complete the verification process by providing basic personal details, including their SSN and a valid U.S. photo ID.

Once your account is funded and verified, you can start trading. Browse the available Grammy markets and place your first trade by purchasing YES or NO contracts based on your predictions.

Kalshi offers a wide range of Grammy Award-related markets, providing traders and investors with unique opportunities to capitalize on music’s biggest night. From artist-specific predictions to major award categories, these event contracts allow you to leverage your music insights and strategic trading skills.

As the most awarded artist in Grammy history, Beyoncé enters the 67th Annual Grammy Awards with 11 nominations in categories such as Song of the Year (Texas Hold 'em) and Best Country Album (Cowboy Carter). Predicting how many Grammys Beyoncé will win introduces additional opportunities for strategic trading.

Focus on Key Categories:Beyoncé’s versatility is an advantage, especially in genre-specific categories. Traders should consider taking YES positions in categories like Best Pop Duo/Group Performance, where her collaboration with Post Malone stands out, but hedge with NO positions in more competitive fields like Song of the Year, where she faces strong rivals such as Taylor Swift.

Monitor Genre Crossover Momentum:Beyoncé’s nomination for Best Country Song (Texas Hold 'em) marks a rare genre crossover, which could appeal to voters looking to reward her versatility. However, traditional country artists often dominate this category. Consider placing a small NO position to offset the risk of a loss in this highly competitive space.

Balance Risk Across Major Categories:In prestigious categories like Best Pop Solo Performance, competition from artists like Sabrina Carpenter or Billie Eilish could diminish Beyoncé’s chances. Traders might hedge by taking NO positions in these broader categories while doubling down on her strengths in genre-specific awards.

Taylor Swift’s album, The Tortured Poets Department, is a commercial and critical juggernaut with six nominations, including Song of the Year for "Fortnight" and Best Pop Duo/Group Performance for "us.". Fresh off her record-breaking Eras Tour, Taylor is expected to be a major contender on Grammy night.

Leverage Fan Sentiment:Taylor’s passionate fanbase generates significant buzz, often influencing public perception and market sentiment. Monitor social media platforms like Reddit and TikTok for discussions, trends, and predictions in the lead-up to the Grammys. A surge in fan excitement or viral moments can cause market prices to shift, providing opportunities to capitalize.

Cross-Market Hedge:If you expect Taylor to dominate the ceremony, bet YES on her in multiple categories like Album of the Year and Best Pop Vocal Album. Simultaneously, place NO trades on key competitors in overlapping categories, such as Song of the Year, to offset potential losses. This strategy helps you manage risk while maximizing potential returns.

Track Awards Momentum:Taylor’s performance at earlier awards shows, like the American Music Awards or Billboard Music Awards, can indicate how Grammy voters may lean. Big category wins in the weeks leading up to the Grammys can signal increasing odds of her success, creating opportunities to adjust your trades.

Kendrick Lamar’s chart-topping single "Not Like Us" has received five Grammy nominations, including Song of the Year and Record of the Year. His collaboration with Future and Metro Boomin on "Like That" also earned Best Rap Performance and Best Rap Song nominations.

Focus on Rap Categories:Kendrick is a favorite in rap-specific categories where his dominance gives him an edge. Consider taking YES positions in rap genre categories but hedging with NO trades in broader categories like Record of the Year where competitors like Taylor Swift may have stronger appeal.

Track Cultural and Sociopolitical Narratives:Known for his sociopolitical themes, Kendrick Lamar’s influence is often shaped by media buzz and public narratives. For example, his diss track "Not Like Us," targeting rapper Drake, could influence his Grammy chances or spark legal action. Traders should explore related Kalshi markets, such as whether Drake will sue Kendrick over the track while considering how these dynamics might impact Kendrick’s nominations.

The Grammy for Album of the Year is the night’s highest honor. The 2025 nominees feature a mix of legendary icons and rising stars. André 3000 (New Blue Sun), Beyoncé (Cowboy Carter), and Taylor Swift (The Tortured Poets Department) headline the category, while Sabrina Carpenter (Short n' Sweet) and Chappell Roan (The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess) showcase fresh talent. Jacob Collier’s jazz-infused Djesse Vol. 4 adds a jazz-inspired twist—creating dynamic opportunities for Kalshi traders.

Place Bets on Proven Favorites:Among the 2025 nominees, only Taylor Swift, André 3000, and Billie Eilish have previously won the Grammy for Album of the Year, adding a layer of intrigue to the market. Kalshi traders should consider taking YES positions on these frontrunners, as their critical acclaim and commercial performance have previously resonated with Grammy voters.

Hedge Trades with Underdogs:While past winners may dominate the spotlight, emerging talents like Sabrina Carpenter (Short n' Sweet) and Chappell Roan (The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess) could deliver a surprise in this category. Placing YES bets on these rising stars could offer high-reward opportunities.

Monitor Award Season Momentum:Early wins at precursor events like the Billboard Music Awards often signal Grammy trends. If an artist like Billie Eilish (Hit Me Hard and Soft) gains momentum leading up to the Grammys, traders should consider adjusting positions to reflect the shifting market sentiment.

The Best New Artist category is one of the most unpredictable and exciting Grammy awards, highlighting breakout stars who have made a significant impact over the past year. The 2025 nominees feature a diverse mix of mainstream chart-toppers and rising indie talents, creating a dynamic and engaging market for Kalshi traders.

Analyze Artistic Potential Over Popularity:While streaming success is important, Grammy voters may prioritize artistic longevity and talent over commercial appeal. Kalshi traders should focus on nominees with critical acclaim or innovative artistry, as these traits often resonate with voters in the Best New Artist category.

Diversify Across Genres:The 2025 Best New Artist nominees span genres from hip-hop and Latin music to indie-pop and R&B. Diversifying your trades across multiple genres or adjacent categories, such as predicting how many Grammy awards Chappell Roan will win, can help hedge against unexpected voter trends or biases.

The Best Country Album category is one of the most competitive and diverse Grammy awards, celebrating projects that have significantly impacted the genre. The 2025 nominees include established country superstars like Chris Stapleton, alongside unexpected crossover artists like Beyoncé and Post Malone. This blend of tradition and innovation makes it a compelling market for Kalshi traders.

Traditional vs. Crossover Appeal:While Grammy voters often favor traditional country albums, the presence of crossover nominees like Beyoncé and Post Malone introduces an element of unpredictability. Beyoncé’s Cowboy Carter represents a bold genre shift that could appeal to voters seeking to reward innovation, while Post Malone’s F-1 Trillion showcases a stripped-down, country-inspired sound. Consider placing YES bets on traditional favorites like Lainey Wilson or Chris Stapleton while hedging with small YES positions on crossover contenders in case of an upset.

Historical Voting Trends:Albums with strong storytelling and emotional resonance have historically excelled in this category. For instance, Kacey Musgraves’s Deeper Well and Lainey Wilson’s Whirlwind reflect Grammy voters’ preference for heartfelt, traditional country music. Use these trends to guide strategic YES and NO trades. Additionally, explore related markets, such as predicting how many Grammys Post Malone will win, to diversify and hedge your positions.

The Best Rap Album category honors the year’s most impactful hip-hop projects. The 2025 nominees comprise a dynamic blend of legendary rappers, groundbreaking collaborations, and rising stars, presenting a compelling and diverse market for traders.

Veteran Powerhouses vs. Rising Stars:The presence of rap legends like Eminem (The Death of Slim Shady) and Common and Pete Rock (The Auditorium Vol. 1) gives them a strong edge, as Grammy voters often favor established artists with proven track records. However, Doechii (Alligator Bites Never Heal), also nominated for Best New Artist, could appeal to voters looking to spotlight innovation and new talent. Kalshi traders should consider placing YES bets on the veterans while hedging with smaller YES bets on Doechii as a potential underdog winner.

Historical Voting Trends:Grammy voters in the Best Rap Album category have traditionally favored projects with strong storytelling, lyrical depth, and cultural significance. Albums such as J. Cole’s Might Delete Later and Common and Pete Rock's The Auditorium Vol. 1 embody these qualities. Kalshi traders should leverage this trend to guide YES trades on these narrative-focused contenders.

Balance Commercial and Artistic Appeal:While Eminem and J. Cole’s nominations bring lyrical and cultural depth, Future and Metro Boomin’s We Don’t Trust You and Doechii’s Alligator Bites Never Heal bring commercial appeal and innovation. Diversifying trades across albums that feature artistic merit and mainstream popularity will hedge bets against voter preferences.

The Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical category honors contemporary music's most influential and innovative songwriters. The 2025 nominees feature a dynamic mix of seasoned veterans and emerging talents, including Amy Allen, Jessi Alexander, Edgar Barrera, Jessie Jo Dillon, and RAYE. In a historic shift, four nominees are women, setting the stage for a potential barrier-breaking win as no woman has ever won this award. This milestone creates unique and exciting trading opportunities for Kalshi traders.

Historic Momentum for Female Songwriters:With four women nominated this year, Grammy voters may seek to make history by awarding the first-ever female winner in this category. Consider placing YES bets on female frontrunners such as Amy Allen and RAYE, as this could be the year the Academy leans toward diversity and inclusivity.

Track Record and Versatility:Edgar Barrera, known for his work in Latin music, has a strong track record and represents a different stylistic angle. Grammy voters often reward versatility, so Barrera could appeal to voters looking to honor a songwriter who bridges cultural and genre divides. Hedge with YES bets on Barrera to diversify your trades.

Hedge with Adjacent Markets:To manage risk, traders can hedge bets by exploring adjacent Grammy markets, such as Producer of the Year Non-Classical. For example, if Amy Allen or RAYE is tied to major projects with nominated producers, that synergy could boost their chances of winning. Diversifying trades across categories can help balance the unpredictability of voter preferences.

Trading the Grammys with Kalshi provides a secure, data-driven platform to turn your music industry knowledge into profit while navigating one of the year’s most exciting cultural events.

Kalshi is the first event trading platform fully regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This ensures all Grammy markets are conducted in a legal, secure, and transparent environment, giving traders peace of mind while speculating on music’s biggest night.

Kalshi offers a wide array of Grammy markets to suit all trading strategies. Whether you want to predict whether Taylor Swift will announce a new album at the Grammy ceremony or whether Amy Allen will make history in Songwriter of the Year, Kalshi’s diverse markets provide opportunities to profit from various award outcomes.

As the February 2, 2025, Grammy night unfolds, Kalshi allows you to trade live and adapt to real-time developments. Traders can gain an edge by leveraging emerging data, such as early surprise wins on Grammy night, that may signal shifts in voter sentiment and market dynamics in one of the Big Four categories.

Kalshi’s Grammy markets allow you to hedge bets across multiple categories and related markets. For instance, if you’re trading on Album of the Year, you can manage risk by placing additional bets on related markets, such as Song of the Year or the number of Grammys Billie Eilish will win. This flexibility helps you craft a more balanced strategy.

Kalshi provides a unique opportunity to analyze music industry trends by connecting Grammy outcomes with public sentiment and chart performance on the Billboard Hot 100. Chart-topping hits and viral successes often signal industry and voter preferences, helping traders refine their strategies. Kalshi traders can gain valuable insights into Grammy markets and beyond by tracking trends like genre-crossing collaborations and rising diversity among nominees.

An event contract is a financial instrument that allows traders to speculate on the outcome of a specific, well-defined event. Simply put, it’s a bet where you predict whether something will happen (YES) or not (NO). Each contract is tied to a real-world event, such as a political decision, economic indicator, or cultural milestone like the Grammy Awards.

Yes, trading on Grammy markets with Kalshi is entirely legal. Kalshi is fully regulated, ensuring a secure, transparent, and compliant trading environment.

Kalshi uses a dynamic pricing model that aligns with the market’s perceived probability of an event happening. Contract prices fluctuate in real-time, reflecting the collective opinion of market participants. For instance, if a YES contract is priced at $0.65, it indicates a 65% market-estimated likelihood of the event occurring. These prices adjust continuously based on trader activity and new developments.

Markets close for trading and settle on dates specified in the market rules. The closing date marks the final day for trading, while the settlement date is when the outcome is determined and contracts are resolved. Both dates can be found on the Grammy market's page under the "Rules" section, listed as "Closing Date" and "Settlement Date."

Yes, Kalshi provides the flexibility to sell your positions anytime before the contract settles. This feature allows you to secure profits or minimize losses in response to new developments, such as breaking news, market shifts, or early ceremony wins.

Kalshi offers a trusted, secure platform for trading on the 67th Annual Grammy Awards. Whether you’re leveraging your music insights or hedging against risks, Kalshi provides a transparent, data-driven environment to profit from Grammy outcomes. Open an account at Kalshi.com today to explore the various Grammy markets and start trading!