How to trade the big football game on Kalshi

The 2025 Pro Football Championship will take place in New Orleans on February 9, 2025. The Philadelphia and Kansas City teams will compete for the ultimate title in what promises to be the year's most exciting and anticipated sporting event.

Kalshi offers a transparent, federally regulated platform for trading on events like the Pro Football Championship through its Designated Contract Market (DCM). Fully legal for residents in all 50 states, Kalshi provides an innovative way to engage with the game, whether you're a seasoned trader or just getting started.

This guide will walk you through how to trade the Pro Football Championship game using Kalshi, highlight the advantages of event contracts, and provide tips to help you get started.

Kalshi’s event contracts offer an alternative to traditional sports betting, particularly for traders in states where sports betting is prohibited. Here’s why Kalshi stands out:

Kalshi operates under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), ensuring federal compliance. Unlike individual state-regulated sportsbooks, Kalshi’s platform is legal nationwide, offering a secure and transparent marketplace for event trading.

Kalshi functions as a financial exchange where traders interact directly with one another. Prices are driven by market sentiment, news developments, and trader activity rather than being fixed by a bookmaker. This dynamic approach allows users to adjust positions in real time, capitalize on price fluctuations, and trade throughout the event.

Kalshi allows traders to exit positions before the game concludes, locking in profits or cutting losses based on evolving circumstances. Traditional sports betting doesn’t offer this level of flexibility, as trades are often locked until the outcome is determined.

Kalshi offers more than just trading on big games. Our markets span various topics, including the weather, politics, and cultural events. Traders can hedge risk or diversify their portfolios by exploring multiple markets.

Tip for Traders: While trading on the Pro Football Championship game, consider diversifying into non-sports markets, such as predictions on future interest rate hikes or political developments, to create a balanced trading strategy.

Philadelphia returns to the big stage for the first time since narrowly losing the title two years ago, 38–35, to the same Kansas City football team. Philadelphia bolstered its offense this season by adding a star running back, while their tight end has been a consistent threat in the red zone. Their defense, anchored by a formidable pass rush, looks to contain Kansas City’s explosive offense.

Kansas City, helmed by their star quarterback, once again proved their playoff mettle by powering through the post-season. Their elite pass-catcher at tight end and a balanced rushing attack support their acclaimed quarterback. With high-powered offensive schemes, Kansas City aims to defend their title and further cement their status as a modern dynasty.

Tip: Closely monitor official injury reports, weather forecasts, and team performance trends. These factors can significantly impact contract prices, offering opportunities to profit from market shifts before and during the game.

Kalshi is a federally regulated platform accessible to users across the United States. However, misunderstandings about its legality and functionality can arise. Below, we debunk five of the most common myths:

FALSE: Kalshi is regulated at the federal level as a Designated Contract Market (DCM). Unlike sportsbooks, which operate with fixed odds and may be prohibited under individual state gambling laws, Kalshi functions as a marketplace for event contracts governed by federal commodities regulations. This makes Kalshi a financial exchange rather than a gambling platform - and importantly, it means Kalshi is available in all 50 states, including states where sports betting is illegal.

FALSE: Kalshi is regulated and legal at the federal level, not the state level. Kalshi is also a financial exchange, not a sportsbook or casino. For these reasons, state bans on “gambling” generally do not apply to Kalshi. That’s why Kalshi is available to users in states where sports betting is restricted—such as Utah, Hawaii, and Alabama.

FALSE: Kalshi supports deposits and withdrawals in all 50 states. Regardless of where you live, you can access your funds in accordance with Kalshi’s policies.

FALSE: While Kalshi does feature sports-related event markets, it also offers contracts on a range of subjects, including finance, science, and economic indicators. This breadth makes Kalshi a diverse marketplace for event-based trading.

FALSE: Kalshi is designed for all skill levels. With straightforward tools, real-time data, and educational materials, the platform is accessible to newcomers while still offering depth for seasoned traders.

By clarifying these common myths, Kalshi encourages users—even in states with restrictive strict gambling laws—to learn how the platform works and why it generally operates as a legal and regulated alternative for event-based trading.

Kalshi allows traders to speculate on the outcome of the Big Game through event contracts. Below is a breakdown of how contract pricing works.

Contracts are priced dynamically between $0.01 and $0.99, reflecting the market’s perceived probability of an event. For example:

Tip: The price you pay for a contract determines your total potential profit. Keep an eye on breaking news, such as injuries, as these developments can shift market prices and create new trading opportunities.

Kalshi’s system pairs buyers and sellers to maintain a balanced and transparent trading environment. For every “Yes” contract purchased, another trader must sell a “Yes” contract (or effectively take the “No” side). This structure ensures fairness and allows traders to adjust their positions as new information emerges.

Since the Supreme Court overturned the federal ban on sports betting in 2018, the gambling industry has experienced significant growth across the United States. Despite this expansion, several states still prohibit sports betting due to cultural, legal, or regulatory restrictions, limiting residents' opportunities to participate in the big game.

Kalshi provides a legal alternative for trading on the outcomes of major sporting events. Approved to operate nationwide—including Washington, DC, and U.S. territories such as Guam, Puerto Rico, and American Samoa—Kalshi operates under federal regulation, offering an innovative way to engage with event-based markets without breaking state or local laws.

If you live in a state where sports betting is prohibited—such as Utah, Hawaii, Alabama, Alaska, or Idaho—you can legally place trades on Kalshi and earn a payout by predicting who will win the 2025 Pro Football Championship.

Here is a breakdown of each state:

Utah has some of the nation’s strictest anti-gambling laws, prohibiting all forms of gambling, including casinos, sportsbooks, and lotteries. As one of only two states with a total gambling ban, this reflects Utah’s strong cultural and legal stance against gambling in any capacity.

Although Utah’s laws prohibit gambling, Kalshi operates under federal regulation as a financial marketplace, not a traditional gambling platform. Because event contracts on Kalshi are classified differently than gambling, Utah residents can participate in the market.

Alongside Utah, Hawaii also outlaws all forms of gambling. This ban includes casinos, sportsbooks, lotteries, and even charitable gambling, leaving residents with no in-state options for traditional sports betting.

Because Kalshi operates under federal regulation as a financial exchange, Hawaii’s comprehensive gambling ban does not apply to Kalshi. Kalshi’s federal regulation means that Hawaii residents can trade on the Pro Football Championship.

Efforts to legalize sports betting in Alabama have repeatedly fallen short, leaving the state without retail or online sportsbooks. As a result, residents who want to place wagers on major sporting events have no state-authorized gambling options.

Although Alabama bans sports betting, Kalshi operates under federal oversight as a financial marketplace. Its event contracts are categorized under federal law, so Alabama residents can participate in Kalshi’s markets.

Alaska has highly restrictive gambling laws, permitting casinos on Native American reservations while banning slot machines and horse racing. Cultural events like "dog mushers" contests are permitted, but residents lack mainstream options for traditional sports betting.

Kalshi is federally regulated and functions as a financial marketplace, not as a gambling platform. This classification places Kalshi’s event contracts outside state gambling bans, allowing Alaskans to trade on markets such as the Pro Football Championship.

Idaho explicitly prohibits all forms of sports gambling, leaving residents without any state-authorized way to wager on major sporting events. As of early 2025, there are no significant active efforts to legalize sports betting in the state.

Traders who are wondering how to trade the 2025 Pro Football Finals in Idaho can use Kalshi’s federally regulated platform because Kalshi is not subject to state-level gambling prohibitions.

How to Start Trading on Kalshi

Signing up for Kalshi is quick and easy, and residents of any U.S. state can register. Visit Kalshi.com/sign-up to create your account.

Deposit funds into your Kalshi account to begin trading.

Tip for Traders: Fund your account during registration to take advantage of trading opportunities as the markets shift leading up to game day.

All traders must verify their identity by providing basic personal information and a valid photo ID. This step ensures that Kalshi operates as a secure and compliant trading platform.

Search for the Pro Football National Conference market on Kalshi and choose "Yes" or "No" based on your prediction.

Tip for Traders: Monitor the markets closely and be prepared to adjust your positions as new information becomes available.

The 2025 Pro Football Championship Game offers exciting matchups and plenty of trading opportunities. Whether you're backing Philadelphia or Kansas City, Kalshi’s secure, federally regulated platform lets you trade on game outcomes as the events unfold with live real-time odds.

Don’t wait—sign up now and place your trades before or on February 9th to take advantage of this opportunity to trade on football’s biggest event!!

The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author, who is using a pseudonym and cannot trade on Kalshi. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

This post and the products discussed here have not been endorsed by the National Football League, its teams, or its players. Any use of team names or player names is purely descriptive and does not indicate any endorsement or affiliation. The above is a general description and is not individual legal advice; please consult your own counsel for any specific questions you may have.