New England opens the 2026 season on the road against Seattle on Wednesday, Sept. 9 at 8:20 p.m. ET at Lumen Field. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 61% to beat the Patriots in a rematch of Super Bowl LX.
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When and where do the Patriots play the Seahawks in Week 1 of the 2026 season?
The Patriots and Seahawks kick off Wednesday, Sept. 9, at 8:20 p.m. ET from Lumen Field in Seattle, airing on NBC and Peacock.
Who is favored to win the Patriots-Seahawks season opener?
New England finished the 2025 regular season 14-3 atop the AFC East before a Super Bowl LX run that ended in a 29-13 loss to Seattle. The Patriots spent the offseason retooling around quarterback Drake Maye, releasing longtime receiver Stefon Diggs and signing Romeo Doubs before landing A.J. Brown in a June trade with the Eagles, reuniting Brown with head coach Mike Vrabel from their years together in Tennessee. Running back TreVeyon Henderson has been out with an ankle injury since late August and was officially ruled out for tonight's opener, with Rhamondre Stevenson set to lead the backfield.
Seattle also went 14-3 in 2025, won the NFC West, and completed the run with a 29-13 Super Bowl LX win over the Patriots. The Seahawks' offseason brought more turnover than the record might suggest: offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak left for a head coaching job, and Super Bowl MVP running back Kenneth Walker III signed with the Chiefs in free agency. Rookie Jadarian Price and free agent addition Emanuel Wilson are set to lead a retooled backfield behind new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, while Zach Charbonnet continues rehabbing a torn ACL. Seattle enters the opener without a notable Week 1 injury designation.
Kalshi power rankings
Seattle enters as the No. 4 team in the league with a Power Score of 37.6 and a 68% playoff qualification price, while New England ranks 9th with a Power Score of 35.1 and a 63% playoff price, a 5-spot gap heading into the rematch.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi contracts are priced in cents, and each cent reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome happening. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 61% to beat the Patriots, while Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 39% to win the rematch.
What is the point spread for Patriots-Seahawks in Week 1?
Seattle is favored by 3.5 points as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
The total for Patriots-Seahawks sits at 44.5 points as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Patriots-Seahawks season opener?
The sharpest storyline is New England's backfield health. TreVeyon Henderson has not practiced since injuring his ankle on Aug. 24 and was ruled out for the opener, leaving Rhamondre Stevenson to inherit a workhorse role against the defense that held the Patriots to 13 points in Super Bowl LX.
What are the Patriots' and Seahawks' expectations entering the 2026 season?
New England enters the year as an AFC East favorite after last season's breakout run under Vrabel and Maye, with the A.J. Brown trade signaling the front office believes this roster is built to get back to the Super Bowl.
Seattle is defending its second Lombardi Trophy in franchise history, but the departures of Kubiak and Walker leave real questions about whether an offense that finished among the league's highest-scoring units last year can hold that level with a new coordinator and a rebuilt backfield.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders currently favor Seattle to open its title defense with a win over New England, but a retooled Patriots offense built around A.J. Brown gives this rematch more variance than the final score in Santa Clara suggested. Kalshi's prices for Patriots-Seahawks will keep moving as kickoff approaches.
What are the score predictions for Patriots-Seahawks? As of this writing, the total sits at 44.5 points, with Seattle favored by 3.5.
What is the spread for Patriots-Seahawks? As of this writing, Seattle is favored by 3.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Patriots or Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 61% to beat the Patriots.
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