The Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) visit the New Orleans Saints (1-1) on Sunday, Sept. 27 at 4:25 p.m. ET at the Caesars Superdome in the Saints' home opener. Kalshi traders have the Saints at 62% to win.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Raiders play the Saints in Week 3 of the 2026 season?
The Raiders and Saints kick off Sunday, Sept. 27 at 4:25 p.m. ET at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, on CBS.
Who is favored to win the Raiders vs. Saints Week 3 game?
New Orleans went 6-11 in 2025, Kellen Moore's first season, but finished strong after rookie Tyler Shough took over at quarterback midseason and went 5-4 as a starter. The Saints opened 2026 with two road games, losing 31-30 in overtime at Detroit on a failed two-point try and then winning 24-17 at Baltimore, where Shough scored the go-ahead touchdown on a quarterback sneak with 1:28 left. Shough leads the league with 662 passing yards, with four touchdowns and two interceptions. Rookie receiver Jordyn Tyson is on injured reserve, receiver Barion Brown and defensive lineman Christen Miller are out, and cornerback Martin Emerson Jr. returned to a limited practice Friday, as of this writing.
Las Vegas went 3-14 in 2025, earning the No. 1 overall pick, and fired Pete Carroll after one season. The Raiders hired Klint Kubiak as head coach and drafted quarterback Fernando Mendoza first overall, but veteran Kirk Cousins has started both games. They beat Miami 27-13 at home and won 26-14 at the Chargers. Tight end Brock Bowers (knee) is questionable as he tries to make his season debut, after limited practices Wednesday and Thursday and a planned day off Friday. Safety Treydan Stukes (concussion) is out, as of this writing.
Kalshi power rankings
The Saints enter as the No. 15 team in the league with a Power Score of 49.9, and Kalshi traders have them at 51% to qualify for the playoffs. The Raiders rank 17th with a Power Score of 44.3, and Kalshi traders have them at 30% to reach the postseason. That is a two-spot gap heading into Sunday, after New Orleans climbed nine spots this week, the biggest jump on the board, and Las Vegas climbed two.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Saints at 62% to win and the Raiders at 38%, as of this writing. That makes New Orleans a modest home favorite over the unbeaten Raiders.
What is the point spread for Raiders vs. Saints in Week 3?
Kalshi traders have the Saints winning by more than 3.5 points at 47%, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have over 43.5 total points at 52%, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Raiders vs. Saints Week 3 game?
It is Shough's first home start of the season after two road comebacks. He threw for more than 400 yards against Detroit and led the fourth-quarter rally in Baltimore, and now the Saints play in the Superdome for the first time this year. Las Vegas has won both games behind Cousins and running back Ashton Jeanty, but its wins came against Miami and a Chargers team that is still winless. If Bowers makes his season debut, Cousins gets another option against a Saints defense that has held up late in games.
What are the Raiders' and Saints' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Las Vegas Raiders: The Raiders are rebuilding under Kubiak with Mendoza developing behind Cousins. A 2-0 start after their 2025 3-14 finish is already a big improvement.
New Orleans Saints: After a strong finish in 2025, the Saints believe they have their quarterback in Shough and a chance to compete in a wide-open NFC South.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have New Orleans at 62% at home against a Raiders team that has not lost yet. The swing factor is whether Shough can keep producing at the level he has through two weeks. Kalshi's prices for Raiders vs. Saints will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Raiders vs. Saints? Kalshi traders have over 43.5 total points at 52%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for Raiders vs. Saints? Kalshi traders have the Saints winning by more than 3.5 points at 47%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Raiders or the Saints? Kalshi traders have the Saints at 62% to win, as of this writing.
Follow Kalshi on X: @Kalshi | Image source: Veronica Davidson
The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to trade any specific product. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Trading event contracts and trading leveraged products, including perpetual futures, involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. Kalshi is not affiliated with the National Football League.
