The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots meet Sunday, September 20 at 1 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. Both teams enter 1-0. Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 68% to win and the Steelers at 32%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Steelers-Patriots Week 2 game?
Pittsburgh went 10-7 in 2025 and won the AFC North for the first time in five years before losing to Houston in the Wild Card round, a defeat that led Mike Tomlin to step down after 19 seasons. The Steelers hired Mike McCarthy as his replacement, reuniting the former Super Bowl-winning coach with quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who has said 2026 will be his final season. Pittsburgh opened 2026 with a 20-13 win over Atlanta. Left tackle Troy Fautanu (ankle) and tight end Darnell Washington (personal reasons) both missed Wednesday's practice, and cornerback Joey Porter Jr. remains limited as he works back from a back injury that cost him the preseason.
New England went 14-3 in 2025, won the AFC East and reached Super Bowl LX in Mike Vrabel's first year as head coach before losing to Seattle 29-13. Quarterback Drake Maye earned second-team All-Pro honors, and the Patriots return largely the same core for 2026. Cornerback Carlton Davis III missed Wednesday's practice with a neck injury after playing 49 of 50 defensive snaps in Week 1.
Kalshi power rankings
The Steelers enter as the No. 15 team in the league with a Power Score of 54.9 and a 40% playoff qualification price, while the Patriots rank 16th with a Power Score of 52.2 and a 57% playoff price, a one-spot gap heading into Sunday's game.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 68% and the Steelers at 32% as New England opens as a clear favorite at home.
What is the point spread for Steelers vs. Patriots in Week 2?
Kalshi traders predict the Patriots to be favored by 5 points over the Steelers, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders predict a point total of 41.5 for Sunday's game, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Steelers-Patriots Week 2 game?
The sharpest storyline is the coaching change in Pittsburgh. Mike McCarthy makes his first road appearance as Steelers head coach against the team that reached the Super Bowl the year before, with Aaron Rodgers making one more run in what he's called his final season.
What are the Steelers' and Patriots' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Pittsburgh Steelers: After winning the AFC North and exiting in the Wild Card round, the Steelers are betting on the McCarthy-Rodgers reunion to get them further in Rodgers's presumptive final season. Pittsburgh opened 2026 with a win over Atlanta.
New England Patriots: After reaching the Super Bowl in Vrabel's first season, the Patriots are looking to get back to the championship game behind Drake Maye. New England opened 2026 in strong form as it defends its AFC title.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders see New England as the clear favorite in Sunday's game, with the defending AFC champions hosting a Steelers team adjusting to a new coaching staff. Kalshi's prices for Steelers-Patriots will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Steelers vs. Patriots? As of this writing, Kalshi traders predict a point total of 41.5.
What is the spread for Steelers vs. Patriots? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Patriots favored by 5 points.
Who is favored to win, Steelers or Patriots? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Patriots favored at 68% to beat the Steelers.
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