The Houston Texans (0-2) visit the Indianapolis Colts (0-2) on Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium, with both AFC South teams looking for their first win. Kalshi traders have the Texans at 55% to win.
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When and where do the Texans play the Colts in Week 3 of the 2026 season?
The Texans and Colts kick off Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, on CBS.
Who is favored to win the Texans vs. Colts Week 3 game?
Houston went 12-5 in 2025, won a Wild Card game 30-6 at Pittsburgh, and lost 28-16 at New England in the Divisional round, its third straight playoff trip. The Texans have lost both home games to open 2026, 36-31 to Buffalo and 20-6 to Cincinnati. C.J. Stroud has 627 passing yards, third-most in the league, with two touchdowns and no turnovers. Receiver Nico Collins (hamstring) has been ruled out again, along with edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney, guard Ed Ingram, defensive back M.J. Stewart, and linebacker Jake Hummel. Tackle Trent Brown is questionable after a full practice Friday, as of this writing.
Indianapolis started 8-2 in 2025, then lost its last seven games to finish 8-9 after Daniel Jones tore his Achilles in Week 14. The Colts kept head coach Shane Steichen and general manager Chris Ballard, and Jones is back as the starter, with 376 passing yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions so far. Jonathan Taylor has 190 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Colts lost big to Baltimore in Week 1 and in overtime at Kansas City in Week 2. Receivers Alec Pierce (heel) and Ashton Dulin (ankle) are out, and cornerback Charvarius Ward Sr. is questionable after practicing fully Friday, as of this writing.
Kalshi power rankings
The Texans enter as the No. 18 team in the league with a Power Score of 43.9, and Kalshi traders have them at 53% to qualify for the playoffs. The Colts rank 25th with a Power Score of 23.9, and Kalshi traders have them at 26% to reach the postseason. That is a seven-spot gap heading into Sunday, after Houston fell five spots this week and Indianapolis climbed one.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Texans at 55% to win and the Colts at 45%, as of this writing. That makes Houston a slight road favorite in a game between two teams that have both started poorly.
What is the point spread for Texans vs. Colts in Week 3?
Kalshi traders have the Texans winning by more than 2.5 points at 48%, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have over 42.5 total points at 50%, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Texans vs. Colts Week 3 game?
Someone leaves Sunday at 0-3. Per ESPN, only eight of the 51 teams that started 0-2 since the playoff field expanded to 14 teams in 2020 went on to reach the postseason, and one of these division rivals will fall even further behind that pace. Houston has won the last five meetings, all by eight points or fewer, but Collins and Pierce are both out, and the Colts' defense has allowed 74 points in two games. The Texans play their first road game of the season against a team that took Kansas City to overtime a week ago.
What are the Texans' and Colts' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Houston Texans: The Texans have reached the Divisional round in each of Stroud's three seasons but lost the AFC South to Jacksonville in 2025. They entered 2026 expecting to contend again.
Indianapolis Colts: The Colts have not made the playoffs in five seasons, and Steichen and Ballard returned after their 2025 collapse with little margin for another one. A healthy Jones was supposed to be the difference.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Houston at 55% in a game that sends the loser to 0-3. The swing factor is whether Stroud's offense can finish drives against a Colts defense that has struggled to get stops. Kalshi's prices for Texans vs. Colts will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Texans vs. Colts? Kalshi traders have over 42.5 total points at 50%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for Texans vs. Colts? Kalshi traders have the Texans winning by more than 2.5 points at 48%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Texans or the Colts? Kalshi traders have the Texans at 55% to win, as of this writing.
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