What are the odds of Trump being impeached?

As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi traders price the chance of President Trump being impeached at 76.6%, up from 70% before Election Day.

What are the odds of Trump being removed from office?

Kalshi traders price the chance of President Trump being impeached and removed from office at 28.3%, up from 22.3% before the midterms.

Did Democrats win control of Congress in the 2026 midterms?

Yes. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate in the November 2026 midterm elections and are set to take control in January 2027.

Do Americans support impeaching Trump?

An October 2026 Politico poll found 50% of respondents supported Democrats impeaching Trump if they won Congress. The same poll found 54% believe Trump has committed impeachable offenses.

What will Democratic investigators focus on?

Democratic investigators are expected to focus on defense technology firms with ties to Donald Trump Jr. that received Pentagon funding, along with manufacturing and mining companies that serve the military supply chain, according to The Washington Post.