Kalshi traders have the Green Bay Packers at 57% to win and the Minnesota Vikings at 43% in an NFC North game between a 6-3 team coming off a 45-27 win at New England and a 6-2 team coming off a 23-6 loss to Buffalo.
Minnesota has lost two straight, traded a 2027 third-round pick to the Raiders for Kirk Cousins on Nov. 10 after Kyler Murray strained a hamstring and Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards against the Bills, and the Vikings have announced that Cousins will start.
Green Bay got four touchdowns from Jordan Love last week but is without running back Josh Jacobs, who broke a finger, and without Micah Parsons, who is out. The Vikings won the first meeting 39-22 on Sept. 13, and Kalshi's Power Rankings put Minnesota ninth and Green Bay 11th.
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When and where do the Vikings play the Packers in Week 10 of the 2026 season?
The Vikings and Packers kick off Sunday, Nov. 15, at 1 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
Who is favored to win the Vikings vs. Packers Week 10 game?
Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota is 6-2 under head coach Kevin O'Connell and has lost two straight, 19-15 to Detroit on Nov. 1 and 23-6 to Buffalo on Nov. 9, a game in which the offense finished with 178 total yards. Cousins, acquired from the Raiders on Nov. 10, will start, according to the Vikings' announcement. Wentz (ankle) has no game designation, Max Brosmer is the other option, and Murray is out with a hamstring strain. As of this writing, Friday's final report lists tight end T.J. Hockenson (wrist/chest), receiver Jauan Jennings (calf), linebacker Blake Cashman (concussion) and lineman Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (ankle) as out, while outside linebacker Kyle Van Noy (calf), receiver Jordan Addison (thumb) and safety Joshua Metellus (shoulder) are questionable. Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 43%, with the quarterback change holding the price down.
Green Bay Packers: Green Bay is 6-3 under head coach Matt LaFleur and has won two straight, 27-19 over Carolina on Oct. 29 and 45-27 at New England on Nov. 8. Love, the starting quarterback, went 23 of 29 for 372 yards and three touchdowns with a rushing score against the Patriots. As of this writing, Friday's final report lists running back Josh Jacobs (finger), center Sean Rhyan (ankle), tight end Josh Whyle (concussion) and edge rusher Parsons (knee/illness) as out and linebacker Zaire Franklin (shin) as doubtful, while safeties Javon Bullard (ankle/knee) and Xavier McKinney (foot), edge rusher Lukas Van Ness (back), guard Kevin Zeitler (ankle) and receiver Skyy Moore (ankle) are among those questionable. Kalshi traders have the Packers at 57%, with home field and Love's recent production driving the price.
Kalshi Power Rankings
Minnesota enters as the No. 9 team in the league with a Power Score of 66.7 and a 71% playoff qualification price, while Green Bay ranks 11th with a Power Score of 62.0 and a 65% playoff price, a two-spot gap heading into the NFC North matchup. The Vikings hold the higher ranking, but Kalshi traders have the home Packers as the favorite in this game.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Packers at 57% to win and the Vikings at 43%.
What is the point spread for Vikings vs. Packers in Week 10?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers winning by more than 2.5 points at 57%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 42.5 total points at 48%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Vikings vs. Packers Week 10 game?
The biggest storyline is Minnesota's quarterback situation. Cousins, who played for the Vikings from 2018 through 2023, has 20 touchdowns and eight interceptions this season with the Raiders, according to FanSided, and arrives to lead an offense that scored six points against Buffalo. Murray started six games and Wentz two, and Love threw for 389 and 387 yards in two of his last four games against Minnesota, according to the Packers.
What are the Vikings' and Packers' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota is 6-2 with wins over Green Bay, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Miami, New Orleans and Indianapolis, but it has dropped its last two games, and Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 71% to make the playoffs. After Green Bay they play San Francisco in Mexico City on Nov. 22, host Atlanta on Nov. 29, host Carolina on Dec. 6 and host New England on Thursday, Dec. 10.
Green Bay Packers: Green Bay is 6-3 and has won two straight, most recently 45-27 at New England, and Kalshi traders have the Packers at 65% to make the playoffs. After Minnesota they have a Week 11 bye, visit the Rams on Wednesday, Nov. 25, visit New Orleans on Dec. 6 and host Buffalo on Dec. 13.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Green Bay as a modest favorite at 57%, with home field and Love's recent form set against a Vikings team that has lost two straight and is changing quarterbacks again. The swing factor is whether Minnesota's quarterback, Cousins after only a few days with the team, can revive an offense that managed 178 yards against Buffalo. Kalshi's prices for Vikings vs. Packers will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Vikings vs. Packers in Week 10? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 42.5 total points at 48%.
What is the spread for Vikings vs. Packers in Week 10? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers winning by more than 2.5 points at 57%.
Who is favored to win, Vikings or Packers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Packers at 57% to win and the Vikings at 43%.
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