Kalshi traders have the Seattle Seahawks at 61% to win and the Chicago Bears at 39% in a Monday Night Football meeting of two NFC playoff contenders. Chicago (5-2) beat New England 30-24 on Thursday, Oct. 22, with Caleb Williams throwing for 308 yards in his second game back from a hamstring injury.
Seattle (4-3) beat Kansas City 20-3 on Sunday night, with Sam Darnold throwing for 257 yards and Jaxon Smith-Njigba catching nine passes for 150 yards. The Seahawks may be without left tackle Charles Cross, and Kalshi's Power Rankings place the Bears 6th and the Seahawks 8th even though traders lean toward the home team.
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When and where do the Bears play the Seahawks in Week 8 of the 2026 season?
The Bears and Seahawks kick off Monday, Nov. 2, at 8:15 p.m. ET at Lumen Field in Seattle, Wash.
Who is favored to win the Bears vs. Seahawks Week 8 game?
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle is 4-3 under head coach Mike Macdonald and is coming off the 20-3 win over Kansas City on Oct. 25. Darnold is the starting quarterback. As of this writing, left tackle Charles Cross (ankle) has not practiced this week and is listed as doubtful, while running back Zach Charbonnet (knee) was limited Friday and receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee) did not practice Thursday or Friday. The home field and the win over the Chiefs are what drive the 61% price, even with Chicago ranked two spots higher in Kalshi's Power Rankings.
Chicago Bears: Chicago is 5-2 under head coach Ben Johnson and is coming off the 30-24 win over New England on Oct. 22. Williams is the starting quarterback after returning from a right hamstring injury. As of this writing, Anthony Johnson Jr. is listed as doubtful, running back Kyle Monangai and linebackers T.J. Edwards and Jack Sanborn are questionable, and tight end Cole Kmet and tackle Braxton Jones are on injured reserve. The road trip and those absences are what hold the Bears at 39%.
Kalshi Power rankings
Chicago enters as the No. 6 team in the league with a Power Score of 74.6 and a 75% playoff qualification price, while Seattle ranks 8th with a Power Score of 70.1 and a 71% playoff price, a two-spot gap heading into the NFC matchup. View the full 2026 NFL market-implied power rankings.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 61% to win and the Bears at 39%.
What is the point spread for Bears vs. Seahawks in Week 8?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 3.5 points at 46%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 46.5 total points at 51%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Bears vs. Seahawks Week 8 game?
The biggest storyline is Seattle's pass protection. Cross left the Kansas City win in the fourth quarter with an ankle injury and, as of this writing, has not practiced this week, which would leave Josh Jones at left tackle. Seattle allowed five sacks in each of the two games before Kansas City, and Covers reports that Darnold has faced the highest pressure rate per dropback of any quarterback this season. Covers also notes that Chicago's defense ranks fourth in pressure rate with 19 sacks.
What are the Bears' and Seahawks' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Chicago Bears: Chicago is 5-2 with wins over Carolina, Philadelphia, the Jets, Atlanta and New England, and Kalshi traders have the Bears at 75% to make the playoffs. After Seattle they host Tampa Bay on Nov. 8, have a Week 10 bye, host New Orleans on Nov. 22 and visit Detroit on Nov. 26.
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle is 4-3 with wins over New England, Arizona, the Chargers and Kansas City, and Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 71% to make the playoffs. After Chicago they host Arizona on Nov. 8, visit Las Vegas on Nov. 15, have a Week 11 bye and visit San Francisco on Nov. 29.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Seattle favored at 61%, with the Seahawks at home and Chicago ranked two spots higher in Kalshi's Power Rankings. The swing factor is how Seattle's offensive line holds up if Cross cannot go against a Bears pass rush, and whether Williams, who has thrown for more than 300 yards in back-to-back games according to SI, keeps that pace. Kalshi's prices for Bears vs. Seahawks will keep moving as the week goes.
What are the score predictions for Bears vs. Seahawks in Week 8? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 46.5 total points at 51%.
What is the spread for Bears vs. Seahawks in Week 8? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 3.5 points at 46%.
Who is favored to win, Bears or Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 61% to win and the Bears at 39%.
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