Buccaneers vs. Bears odds: Chicago priced at 71% to earn its fourth straight win

Kalshi traders have the Chicago Bears at 71% to win and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 29% in a Week 9 meeting between a 6-2 team on a three-game winning streak and a 3-5 team that has won two straight. Chicago is coming off a 34-17 win at Seattle in which D'Andre Swift ran for three touchdowns, and quarterback Caleb Williams has started all three wins since returning from a hamstring injury.

Tampa Bay shut out Atlanta 16-0 on Nov. 1, rushing for 324 yards without completing a pass, and ranks first in the league in rushing offense. Baker Mayfield is working through a right thumb issue, Chicago tight end Cole Kmet is on injured reserve, and Kalshi's power rankings show a 12-spot gap between the teams.

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The Buccaneers and Bears kick off Sunday, Nov. 8, at 8:20 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tampa Bay is 3-5 under head coach Todd Bowles and has won two straight, 43-13 at Carolina and 16-0 over Atlanta on Nov. 1. Mayfield is the starting quarterback and was a full participant in practice all week. As of this writing, outside linebacker Yaya Diaby (knee) has been ruled out after not practicing all week, tackle Tristan Wirfs (toe) did not practice Thursday and was limited Friday with no game designation, and receiver Emeka Egbuka (foot) is questionable after returning to full participation Thursday and Friday. Kalshi traders have the Buccaneers at 29%, with a rushing offense that leads the league at 168.6 yards per game and the No. 3 total defense supporting the price, while a passing offense that ranks 32nd keeps Tampa Bay an underdog on the road.

Chicago Bears: Chicago is 6-2 under head coach Ben Johnson and has won three straight, most recently the 34-17 decision at Seattle on Nov. 2. Williams is the starting quarterback, with 1,267 passing yards and a 104.6 passer rating after missing three games with a hamstring injury. As of this writing, running back Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe), defensive back Malik Muhammad II (toe) and cornerback Tyrique Stevenson (thumb) are questionable, linebacker D'Marco Jackson (ankle), guard Joe Thuney (rest) and defensive lineman Grady Jarrett (groin) returned to full participation Friday with no game designation, and tight end Cole Kmet and tackle Braxton Jones are on injured reserve. Kalshi traders have the Bears at 71%, with the No. 3 total offense and a defense that ranks first in third-down percentage allowed driving the price.

Chicago enters as the No. 4 team in the league with a Power Score of 85.7 and an 86% playoff qualification price, while Tampa Bay ranks 16th with a Power Score of 40.7 and a 35% playoff price, a 12-spot gap heading into the NFC matchup.

Kalshi traders have the Bears at 71% to win and the Buccaneers at 29%.

As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bears winning by more than 6.5 points at 48%.

As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 47.5 total points at 50%.

The biggest storyline is Tampa Bay's run game against Chicago's run defense. The Buccaneers set a franchise record with 324 rushing yards against Atlanta, with Bucky Irving running for 170 yards and Kenneth Gainwell for 140, while Mayfield threw three passes and completed none. Tampa Bay ranks first in rushing offense and 32nd in passing offense, and Chicago ranks fourth in rushing defense at 86.8 yards allowed per game, according to the Buccaneers' game preview.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tampa Bay is 3-5 with a two-game winning streak that includes the 43-13 win at Carolina and the 16-0 shutout of Atlanta, and Kalshi traders have the Buccaneers at 35% to make the playoffs. After Chicago they have a Week 10 bye, visit Detroit on Nov. 22 and host Carolina on Nov. 30.

Chicago Bears: Chicago is 6-2 with a three-game winning streak that includes wins over Atlanta, New England and Seattle, and Kalshi traders have the Bears at 86% to make the playoffs. After Tampa Bay they have a Week 10 bye, host New Orleans on Nov. 22 and visit Detroit on Thanksgiving, Nov. 26.

Kalshi traders have Chicago as a clear favorite at 71%, with the Bears 6-2 and 12 spots higher in Kalshi's power rankings. The swing factor is whether Tampa Bay's run game, which piled up 324 yards against Atlanta, can control the game against a Chicago defense that ranks fourth against the run. Kalshi's prices for Buccaneers vs. Bears will keep moving until the game ends.

What are the score predictions for Buccaneers vs. Bears in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 47.5 total points at 50%.

What is the spread for Buccaneers vs. Bears in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bears winning by more than 6.5 points at 48%.

Who is favored to win, Buccaneers or Bears? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bears at 71% to win and the Buccaneers at 29%.

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