Kalshi traders have the Houston Texans at 68% to win and the Los Angeles Chargers at 33% as 2-5 Houston visits the NFL's only winless team. Houston is off a bye after a 27-21 overtime loss to the Giants, and C.J. Stroud has thrown 11 touchdown passes with one interception. Los Angeles is 0-7 under Jim Harbaugh, has lost 10 straight dating to the 2025 season and has gone 27 drives without a touchdown, while Justin Herbert leads the league with 10 interceptions.
The Texans are without receiver Jaylin Noel for the season, the Chargers have safety Derwin James Jr. on injured reserve, and Kalshi's power rankings show a 13-spot gap between the teams.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
When and where do the Texans play the Chargers in Week 9 of the 2026 season?
The Texans and Chargers kick off Sunday, Nov. 8, at 4:05 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif.
Who is favored to win the Texans vs. Chargers Week 9 game?
Houston Texans: Houston is 2-5 under head coach DeMeco Ryans. After an 0-4 start the Texans beat Tennessee 26-3 and Jacksonville 34-31 in London, then lost 27-21 in overtime to the Giants on Oct. 25 before their bye. Stroud is the starting quarterback and has 1,867 passing yards, fourth in the NFL, with 11 touchdowns and one interception. As of this writing, safety Reed Blankenship (concussion/hand) and running back David Montgomery (groin) are out, and receiver Noel (toe) is on injured reserve for the season. Kalshi traders have the Texans at 68%, with Stroud's play and Los Angeles' winless record driving the price.
Los Angeles Chargers: Los Angeles is 0-7 under head coach Jim Harbaugh, the NFL's only winless team, and is coming off a 24-9 loss at the Rams on Nov. 1. Herbert is the starting quarterback and has thrown at least one interception in every game. As of this writing, safety Kendall Williamson (calf) is out, receiver Brenen Thompson (quad/hamstring), tight end David Njoku (fibula) and linebacker Denzel Perryman (pectoral) are doubtful, and safety Derwin James Jr. (hamstring) is on injured reserve and cannot return before Nov. 29. Kalshi traders have the Chargers at 33%, with the winless record and the touchdown drought holding the price down.
Kalshi power rankings
Houston enters as the No. 19 team in the league with a Power Score of 33.7 and a 32% playoff qualification price, while Los Angeles ranks 32nd with a Power Score of 4.7 and a 2% playoff price, a 13-spot gap heading into the AFC matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Texans at 68% to win and the Chargers at 33%.
What is the point spread for Texans vs. Chargers in Week 9?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans winning by more than 5.5 points at 49%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 40.5 total points at 50%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Texans vs. Chargers Week 9 game?
The biggest storyline is Houston's pass rush against a Chargers offensive line that is mostly rookies. Texans edge rusher Will Anderson Jr. has 7.5 sacks, tied for the league lead, and Herbert has been sacked 23 times, tied for the second most, while Los Angeles has gone 27 straight drives without a touchdown, dating to a third-quarter score against Denver on Oct. 11.
What are the Texans' and Chargers' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Houston Texans: Houston is 2-5 and 0-4 at home, and Kalshi traders have the Texans at 32% to make the playoffs. After the Chargers they visit Cleveland on Nov. 15, host Indianapolis on Nov. 19 and host Baltimore on Nov. 29.
Los Angeles Chargers: Los Angeles is 0-7 with 10 straight losses dating to last season, and Kalshi traders have the Chargers at 2% to make the playoffs. No team that started 0-7 or worse has made the playoffs. After Houston they visit Baltimore on Nov. 16, host the Jets on Nov. 22 and host New England on Nov. 29.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Houston as a clear favorite at 68%, with the Texans coming off a bye and the Chargers still looking for their first win. The swing factor is whether Los Angeles' young offensive line can hold up against Anderson and the Houston pass rush. Kalshi's prices for Texans vs. Chargers will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Texans vs. Chargers in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 40.5 total points at 50%.
What is the spread for Texans vs. Chargers in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans winning by more than 5.5 points at 49%.
Who is favored to win, Texans or Chargers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Texans at 68% to win and the Chargers at 33%.
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