Kalshi traders have the San Francisco 49ers at 79% to win and the Las Vegas Raiders at 21% in a game that pairs the No. 1 team in Kalshi's power rankings with a 4-4 Raiders team coming off a comeback win.
San Francisco is 6-1 after a 29-20 loss at Atlanta on Oct. 25, its first of the season, and returns from its bye with receivers Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel and Christian Kirk out. Las Vegas snapped a four-game losing streak with a 38-33 win at the Jets, with Kirk Cousins throwing three touchdown passes and running for another. Pass rusher Nick Bosa is back at practice, and Kalshi's power rankings show a 21-spot gap between the teams.
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When and where do the Raiders play the 49ers in Week 9 of the 2026 season?
The Raiders and 49ers kick off Sunday, Nov. 8, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
Who is favored to win the Raiders vs. 49ers Week 9 game?
Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas is 4-4 under head coach Klint Kubiak and is coming off the 38-33 comeback win at the Jets on Nov. 1, which ended a four-game losing streak. Cousins, the starting quarterback, went 19 of 26 for 247 yards and three touchdowns in that game, and tight end Brock Bowers caught two of the touchdown passes. As of this writing, defensive tackle Thomas Booker (ankle) is out, while cornerback Darien Porter (groin), who left the Jets game on the first defensive play, is questionable and receiver Dont'e Thornton (back) was a full participant Friday. Kalshi traders have the Raiders at 21%, with the road trip and San Francisco's record holding the price down.
San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco is 6-1 under head coach Kyle Shanahan and is coming off its Week 8 bye after the 29-20 loss at Atlanta. Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback. As of this writing, receivers Mike Evans (ribs/Achilles), Deebo Samuel (hamstring) and Christian Kirk (knee) are out, cornerback Nate Hobbs (adductor), safety Siran Neal (knee/foot), receiver Demarcus Robinson (ankle) and cornerback Upton Stout (shoulder/neck) are questionable, and running back Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) and Bosa (knee/calf) were full participants Friday. Kalshi traders have the 49ers at 80%, with home field and the No. 1 spot in Kalshi's power rankings driving the price, even with the receiver injuries.
Kalshi power rankings
San Francisco enters as the No. 1 team in the league with a Power Score of 95.7 and a 96% playoff qualification price, while Las Vegas ranks 22nd with a Power Score of 25.4 and an 18% playoff price, a 21-spot gap heading into the 49ers' first game back from their bye.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the 49ers at 80% to win and the Raiders at 21%.
What is the point spread for Raiders vs. 49ers in Week 9?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the 49ers winning by more than 9.5 points at 49%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 51.5 total points at 51%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Raiders vs. 49ers Week 9 game?
The biggest storyline is San Francisco's availability coming out of the bye. Evans, who has Achilles tendinitis and a ribs issue, Samuel, who has a hamstring injury, and Kirk, who has a knee injury, are all out, while McCaffrey and Bosa returned to full practice Friday. Shanahan said he is not overly worried about Evans and expects him to recover sooner rather than later.
What are the Raiders' and 49ers' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas is 4-4 after the comeback win at the Jets, and Kalshi traders have the Raiders at 18% to make the playoffs. After San Francisco they host Seattle on Nov. 15, visit Denver and Cleveland in Weeks 11 and 12, and have a Week 13 bye.
San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco is 6-1 with wins over the Rams, Dolphins, Cardinals, Broncos, Seahawks and Washington, and Kalshi traders have the 49ers at 96% to make the playoffs. After Las Vegas they visit Dallas on Nov. 15, play Minnesota in Mexico City on Nov. 22 and host Seattle on Nov. 29.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have San Francisco as a heavy favorite at 80%, with the 49ers at home and Las Vegas ranked 21 spots lower in Kalshi's power rankings. The swing factor is how the 49ers' offense performs without Evans, Samuel and Kirk and whether Cousins and Bowers can keep scoring the way they did against the Jets. Kalshi's prices for Raiders vs. 49ers will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Raiders vs. 49ers in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 51.5 total points at 51%.
What is the spread for Raiders vs. 49ers in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the 49ers winning by more than 9.5 points at 49%.
Who is favored to win, Raiders or 49ers? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the 49ers at 80% to win and the Raiders at 21%.
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