Kalshi traders have the New England Patriots at 62% to win and the Green Bay Packers at 38% in an interconference game between two 5-3 teams that have each won four of their last five. New England rallied for a 24-19 win at Miami, with Drake Maye accounting for three touchdowns, while Green Bay beat Carolina 27-19 on Oct. 29 behind three touchdown passes from Jordan Love.
The Patriots have receiver A.J. Brown out and tight end Hunter Henry questionable, the Packers have pass rusher Micah Parsons practicing but out as he works back from a torn ACL, and Kalshi's power rankings show a four-spot gap between the teams.
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When and where do the Packers play the Patriots in Week 9 of the 2026 season?
The Packers and Patriots kick off Sunday, Nov. 8, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.
Who is favored to win the Packers vs. Patriots Week 9 game?
Green Bay Packers: Green Bay is 5-3 under head coach Matt LaFleur and is coming off the 27-19 home win over Carolina on Oct. 29, in which Love threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns. Love is the starting quarterback. As of this writing, linebacker Zaire Franklin (shin), lineman Travis Glover (knee), center Sean Rhyan (ankle) and tight end Josh Whyle (concussion) are out, Parsons (knee), who tore his ACL in December 2025, was limited in practice but is also out, and cornerback Keisean Nixon (shoulder) is questionable. Kalshi traders have the Packers at 38%, with the road trip and a ground game that averages 60.6 yards per game, the league's lowest mark according to NBC Sports Boston, holding the price down.
New England Patriots: New England is 5-3 under head coach Mike Vrabel and is coming off the 24-19 win at Miami on Nov. 1, in which Maye went 16 of 20 for 199 yards with two passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. Maye, the starting quarterback, has a right shoulder issue but was a full participant Friday. As of this writing, receiver A.J. Brown (ankle/knee) and running back TreVeyon Henderson (illness) are out, while tight end Hunter Henry (foot) and receiver Mack Hollins (calf) are questionable. Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 62%, with home field driving the price and Maye's three turnovers over his last five games, according to NBC Sports Boston, tempering it.
Kalshi power rankings
New England enters as the No. 10 team in the league with a Power Score of 69.6 and a 76% playoff qualification price, while Green Bay ranks 14th with a Power Score of 53.3 and a 52% playoff price, a four-spot gap heading into the interconference matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 62% to win and the Packers at 38%.
What is the point spread for Packers vs. Patriots in Week 9?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Patriots winning by more than 3.5 points at 47%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 44.5 total points at 51%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Packers vs. Patriots Week 9 game?
The biggest storyline is how New England's passing game holds up against a Packers defense with 15 takeaways, second in the NFL according to NBC Sports Boston. Brown and Henderson are out, Henry is questionable after leaving the Miami game in the second quarter with a foot injury, and the Patriots offense has 15 giveaways, third most in the league, per NBC Sports Boston.
What are the Packers' and Patriots' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Green Bay Packers: Green Bay is 5-3 and has won four of its last five, most recently 27-19 over Carolina, and Kalshi traders have the Packers at 52% to make the playoffs. After New England they host Minnesota on Nov. 15, have a Week 11 bye and visit the Rams on Wednesday, Nov. 25, a game NFL.com lists as a possible return date for Parsons.
New England Patriots: New England is 5-3 and has won four of its last five, most recently 24-19 at Miami, and Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 76% to make the playoffs. After Green Bay they play Detroit in Munich, Germany, on Nov. 15, have a Week 11 bye and visit the Chargers on Nov. 29.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have New England as a modest favorite at 62%, with the Patriots at home and the Packers working with the league's lowest rushing output. The swing factor is turnovers, with a Patriots offense that has 15 giveaways facing a Green Bay defense that has 15 takeaways, according to NBC Sports Boston. Kalshi's prices for Packers vs. Patriots will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Packers vs. Patriots in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 44.5 total points at 51%.
What is the spread for Packers vs. Patriots in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Patriots winning by more than 3.5 points at 47%.
Who is favored to win, Packers or Patriots? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Patriots at 62% to win and the Packers at 38%.
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