Kalshi traders have the Seattle Seahawks at 78% to win and the Arizona Cardinals at 22% in an NFC West game that pairs a 4-4 team with a 3-5 one. Both sidelines have quarterback news. Seattle is coming off a 34-17 Monday night loss to Chicago in which Sam Darnold hurt his quadriceps, and Drew Lock is expected to start in his place.
Arizona made its own switch when head coach Mike LaFleur named Gardner Minshew the starter after he led a comeback in a 33-30 overtime win at Dallas. The Seahawks have four starters ruled out, the Cardinals have two offensive linemen ruled out, and Kalshi's power rankings show a 14-spot gap between the teams.
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When and where do the Cardinals play the Seahawks in Week 9 of the 2026 season?
The Cardinals and Seahawks kick off Sunday, Nov. 8, at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lumen Field in Seattle.
Who is favored to win the Cardinals vs. Seahawks Week 9 game?
Arizona Cardinals: Arizona is 3-5 under head coach Mike LaFleur and is coming off the 33-30 overtime win at Dallas on Nov. 1. Minshew, who replaced Jacoby Brissett in that game and threw for 188 yards and three touchdowns, is the starting quarterback, with rookie Carson Beck as the backup. As of this writing, guard Jon Gaines (ankle), tackle Jayden Williams (knee) and running back Bam Knight (concussion) are out, defensive lineman Walter Nolen III (ankle), guard Isaiah Adams (ankle) and cornerback Max Melton (knee) are questionable, and receiver Michael Wilson, who has two broken ribs, was limited in practice all week. Kalshi traders have the Cardinals at 22%, with the road trip and the offensive line injuries holding the price down.
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle is 4-4 under head coach Mike Macdonald and is coming off a 34-17 loss to Chicago on Nov. 2, its third defeat in four games. Darnold, who went 17 of 34 for 188 yards in that game, is out with a quadriceps injury, and Lock, who has a right elbow issue and was limited in practice all week without a game designation, is the expected starter. As of this writing, tackle Charles Cross (ankle), receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee), guard Quenton Nelson (knee) and defensive tackle Leonard Williams (stinger) are out. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 78%, with home field and Arizona's 3-5 record driving the price, even with the quarterback change.
Kalshi power rankings
Seattle enters as the No. 12 team in the league with a Power Score of 56.9 and a 55% playoff qualification price, while Arizona ranks 26th with a Power Score of 14.9 and a 4% playoff price, a 14-spot gap heading into the NFC West matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 78% to win and the Cardinals at 22%.
What is the point spread for Cardinals vs. Seahawks in Week 9?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 9.5 points at 49%.
What is the projected point total?
As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 38.5 total points at 53%.
What is the biggest storyline in the Cardinals vs. Seahawks Week 9 game?
The biggest storyline is the quarterback situation on both sidelines. Seattle turns to Lock after Macdonald said Darnold will be week to week and will not go on injured reserve, while Arizona starts Minshew after Brissett was pulled in the second half at Dallas and moved to third on the depth chart behind Beck. Seattle is also on a short week after Monday night, and Cross, Shaheed, Nelson and Williams are all out.
What are the Cardinals' and Seahawks' expectations for the rest of the 2026 season?
Arizona Cardinals: Arizona is 3-5 after the overtime win at Dallas and an earlier 31-7 loss to Seattle in Week 2, and Kalshi traders have the Cardinals at 4% to make the playoffs. After Seattle they host the Rams on Nov. 15, visit Kansas City in Week 11 and host Washington in Week 12.
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle is 4-4 with wins over New England, Arizona, the Chargers and Kansas City, and Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 55% to make the playoffs. After Arizona they visit Las Vegas on Nov. 15, have a Week 11 bye and visit San Francisco on Nov. 29.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Seattle as a heavy favorite at 78%, with the Seahawks at home and Arizona at 3-5. The swing factor is whether Seattle's offense holds together with Lock in place of Darnold and several starters out, and whether Minshew can carry over the second-half form he showed at Dallas. Kalshi's prices for Cardinals vs. Seahawks will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Cardinals vs. Seahawks in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 38.5 total points at 53%.
What is the spread for Cardinals vs. Seahawks in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 9.5 points at 49%.
Who is favored to win, Cardinals or Seahawks? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 78% to win and the Cardinals at 22%.
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