The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) visit the Miami Dolphins (0-2) on Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami's home opener. Kalshi traders have the Chiefs at 86% to win.
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When and where do the Chiefs play the Dolphins in Week 3 of the 2026 season?
The Chiefs and Dolphins kick off Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, on CBS.
Who is favored to win the Chiefs vs. Dolphins Week 3 game?
Kansas City missed the playoffs in 2025 for the first time since 2014, and Patrick Mahomes tore the ACL in his left knee in a December loss to the Chargers. Mahomes is back, and Andy Reid's team has opened 2-0 with a 31-10 win over Denver and a 33-30 overtime win over Indianapolis. Running back Kenneth Walker III, who won a Super Bowl with Seattle last season, leads the league with 290 rushing yards through two games. Tackle Josh Simmons (back) is out and defensive back Chamarri Conner (knee) is doubtful, as of this writing.
Miami went 7-10 in 2025 and replaced Mike McDaniel with former Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley. The Dolphins released Tua Tagovailoa, traded Jaylen Waddle to Denver, and signed quarterback Malik Willis from Green Bay to a three-year deal. The results have been rough: a 27-13 loss at Las Vegas and a 35-13 loss at San Francisco, with no sacks on defense in either game. Receiver Caleb Douglas and edge rusher Rob Beal Jr. are out, running back Jaylen Wright is doubtful, and cornerback JuJu Brents and receiver Ryan Miller are questionable after full practices Friday. Linebacker Ronnie Harrison Jr. is on injured reserve, as of this writing.
Kalshi power rankings
The Chiefs enter as the No. 4 team in the league with a Power Score of 83.5, and Kalshi traders have them at 81% to qualify for the playoffs. The Dolphins rank 31st with a Power Score of 9.4, and Kalshi traders have them at 3% to reach the postseason. That is a 27-spot gap heading into Sunday, after Kansas City fell two spots this week and Miami held its place.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Chiefs at 86% to win and the Dolphins at 14%, as of this writing. That makes Kansas City a heavy road favorite, the widest gap of the early Sunday window.
What is the point spread for Chiefs vs. Dolphins in Week 3?
Kalshi traders have the Chiefs winning by more than 10.5 points at 50%, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have over 46.5 total points at 47%, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Chiefs vs. Dolphins Week 3 game?
It is Mahomes against a pass rush that has not gotten home yet. Miami has zero sacks through two games, and Kansas City's offense has looked balanced for the first time in years with Walker carrying the ball. The Dolphins have scored 13 points in each of their first two games, and De'Von Achane is averaging 3.5 yards per carry as defenses crowd the line and dare Willis to throw. Kansas City has won the last five meetings between these teams.
What are the Chiefs' and Dolphins' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Kansas City Chiefs: After their 10-year playoff streak ended, the Chiefs are trying to get back to the top of the AFC with a healthy Mahomes and a real running game. Two wins in two weeks is the start they needed.
Miami Dolphins: Miami is in the first year of a rebuild under Hafley and new general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan, with a young roster and a quarterback on a new contract. This season is about development more than wins.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Kansas City at 86% against a Dolphins team that has not found its offense or its pass rush. The swing factor is whether Miami can generate any pressure on Mahomes in front of its home crowd. Kalshi's prices for Chiefs vs. Dolphins will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Chiefs vs. Dolphins? Kalshi traders have over 46.5 total points at 47%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for Chiefs vs. Dolphins? Kalshi traders have the Chiefs winning by more than 10.5 points at 50%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Chiefs or the Dolphins? Kalshi traders have the Chiefs at 86% to win, as of this writing.
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