The Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday, September 20 at 4:25 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Both teams enter 0-1. Kalshi traders have the Cowboys at 66% to win and the Commanders at 35%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Commanders-Cowboys Week 2 game?
Washington finished 5-12 in 2025, a season wrecked by injuries to quarterback Jayden Daniels, who started only seven games a year after leading the Commanders to the NFC Championship game. Daniels is healthy entering 2026 under third-year head coach Dan Quinn, and Washington opened the season with a 24-22 road loss to Philadelphia, falling behind before two fourth-quarter touchdown passes fell just short of forcing overtime.
Dallas finished 7-9-1 in 2025 under first-year head coach Brian Schottenheimer and missed the playoffs. Quarterback Dak Prescott returns, and the Cowboys opened 2026 with a 28-20 loss to the Giants. Safety Malik Hooker (forearm) underwent surgery this week and is out multiple weeks, and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown (hamstring) is questionable.
Kalshi power rankings
The Cowboys enter as the No. 22 team in the league with a Power Score of 39.7 and a 41% playoff qualification price, while the Commanders rank 26th with a Power Score of 25.8 and a 22% playoff price, a four-spot gap heading into Sunday's game.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Cowboys at 66% and the Commanders at 35% as Dallas opens as a clear favorite at home.
What is the point spread for Commanders vs. Cowboys in Week 2?
Kalshi traders predict the Cowboys to be favored by 4 points over the Commanders, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders predict a point total of 50.5 for Sunday's game, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Commanders-Cowboys Week 2 game?
The sharpest storyline is both teams trying to avoid an 0-2 start after opening losses. Washington is leaning on a healthy Jayden Daniels after last year's injury-wrecked season, while Dallas is looking for its offense to find rhythm under Brian Schottenheimer.
What are the Commanders' and Cowboys' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Washington Commanders: After a 5-12 season derailed by injuries, the Commanders are betting on a healthy Jayden Daniels to get back to the form that produced an NFC Championship appearance two years ago. Washington opened 2026 with a close loss to Philadelphia.
Dallas Cowboys: After missing the playoffs at 7-9-1 in Schottenheimer's first season, the Cowboys are looking for more consistency behind Dak Prescott. Dallas opened 2026 with a loss to the Giants.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders see Dallas as the clear favorite in Sunday's NFC East rematch, with Washington's questionable skill-position players factoring into that price. Kalshi's prices for Commanders-Cowboys will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Commanders vs. Cowboys? As of this writing, Kalshi traders predict a point total of 50.5.
What is the spread for Commanders vs. Cowboys? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Cowboys favored by 4 points.
Who is favored to win, Commanders or Cowboys? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Cowboys favored at 66% to beat the Commanders.
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