Two straight weeks of low scores have put Maura Higgins in danger on Dancing with the Stars. Kalshi traders now see her and Tatyana Ali as nearly even to leave the competition on Grammy night, Nov. 10, 2026.
Ali leads the episode 10 elimination market at 45%, followed closely by Higgins at 44% and Connor Wood in a distant third at 10%.
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Episode 10 will be a Grammy-themed night with live performances and will also feature “dance-offs.” According to ABC, “couples face off against one another on the ballroom floor as they dance head-to-head in the same style at the same time. Winners of each of the three Dance-Offs will be selected by the judges, and the winning couple from each dance-off will receive bonus points added to their judges’ totals for the night.”
Maura Higgins
Higgins started her Dancing with the Stars career as one of the stronger celebrity contestants, but has struggled over the past two weeks of competition. She has a 44% chance of going home on Nov. 10, just behind Ali.
During Disney night on Nov. 2, 2026, she and professional partner Mark Ballas tied Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold for the lowest score on the judges’ scoreboard with a 32/40. Their Oct. 27 horror-themed routine also netted a 32/40. Traditionally, 32/40 is not a bad score, but the increased competition in the final stretch of the show requires more than what Higgins has been able to give.
After the Disney night low point, Higgins took to social media to discuss both her lack of energy and commitment to the show. “This week was definitely one of the toughest I’ve had so far,” Higgins wrote on Instagram. “I was really unwell, running on very little energy and trying to learn two dances, but I gave it absolutely everything I had.” Her fatigue could be an indication that she will underperform again on Nov. 10.
Higgins and Ballas will face off against Wood and Arnold with a cha-cha to “All I Wanna Do” by Sheryl Crow.
Tatyana Ali
Ali now narrowly leads the elimination market at 45%, and she is no stranger to it: Kalshi traders have repeatedly questioned whether it was her time to leave the competition due to generally lower scores than other contestants. Ali has been on the receiving end of some of the harshest judge scores, including a 4/10 from guest judge Shirley Ballas on Horror Movie Night on Oct. 27, 2026.
Still, Ali has a strong fanbase that has saved her from prior eliminations and could pull through for her again on Nov. 10. It also helps that former pro Maksim Chmerkovskiy has publicly traded on Ali’s elimination via Kalshi, which implicitly encouraged her fans to vote to keep her in the competition.
Ali and her pro partner Jan Ravnik will compete against Jenna Dewan and Valentin Chmerkovskiy with a cha-cha to “The Middle” by Zedd, Maren Morris and Grey.
Connor Wood and Amber Glenn
Wood, who tied Higgins for the lowest score on Disney night, sits third in the elimination market at 10%, well behind the two frontrunners. He and Arnold will face Higgins and Ballas in the cha-cha dance-off.
Glenn sits at just 5% to go home on Nov. 10, while she is tied for second in the Dancing with the Stars winner market at 12%.
Kalshi traders are not forecasting much risk for the former Olympian, who has received generally strong scores throughout the competition. She and partner Pasha Pashkov will go head-to-head against Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach with a rumba to “The Boy Is Mine” by Brandy and Monica.
The expected winner
No one can touch Frech in the winner’s market, even though Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Dewan have delivered strong routines in the latest stretch of the competition. Both Dewan and Shum Jr. earned perfect scores on Nov. 2, and Shum Jr. and partner Jenna Johnson earned immunity from the Nov. 10 dance-offs with the season’s highest cumulative score.
Frech still leads the winner’s market at 63% odds, followed by Glenn and Shum Jr. at 12% each. Wood and Dewan are trending much lower at 9% and 5% odds, respectively, to win it all.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
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