This was hard.
As you probably already know, Sunday is the most important day in football. And to celebrate, Kalshi has created lots of fun markets related to "the Big Game," which are 100% legal to trade in all 50 states!
Unfortunately, telling you about our Big Game markets is really difficult, considering I can't mention the name of the Big Game, or the teams who compete, or the players who will play, or even the league involved.
But hey, lawyers gonna lawyer. Despite this Kafkaesque nightmare, the show must go on.With that in mind, here's a breakdown of what Kalshi traders think is in store for Sunday's Big Game both on and off the field.
Sunday, the Kansas City metro region football squad enters Big Game 59 as slight favorites as they attempt to complete an unprecedented three-peat.Thanks to their rotund, mustachioed squad leader and curly-haired ball thrower who moonlights as an insurance salesman, the team dominated the regular season, winning 15 of 17 games.
Will they press on to win the coveted nondescript football league trophy, or will the avian-themed squadron from Philadelphia pull off an upset?
Our traders currently price Kansas City's chances of winning at 53%.
Thankfully, Kalshi is offering lots of markets that are only tangential to the Big Game, so I can use the actual names of the people involved. Which is nice.
Our all-new 'Big Game Attendance' market is a great example. It lets traders speculate on whether various well-known figures who have channeled their personality disorders into fame and fortune will watch the game live.
Currently, President Trump and Taylor Swift are favorites, with odds above 90%, while Kanye and JD Vance seem to have better things to do.
It's also worth pointing out that Elon's odds at the time of writing were at 69%, and we all know how Elon loves a good "69" joke.
You know what other number Elon thinks is funny? Your social security number.
Those of us who aren't lucky enough to attend in person can still enjoy the game from the comfort of home. But how many viewers will tune in?
Nondescript sports ball team owner watching the Big Game on TV while visiting a 100% legal massage parlor.
Traders think there's only a 42% chance viewership surpasses last year's game, but price in a 77% chance it will beat 2023, which also featured Kansas City and Philadelphia.
Fresh off winning Song of the Year and Record of the Year at the 2025 Grammy Awards, rapper Kendrick Lamar will perform at the Big Game halftime show.
In doing so, he will join the illustrious ranks of performers like The Black Eyed Peas and Maroon 5. But he probably won't do it alone, since "surprise" halftime guests are usually the least surprising part of the day.
Drake sits at home, waiting for his invitation to perform at the Grey Cup in November.
While SZA and Mustard are the current favorites to appear, it's probably safe to assume that Drake won't be showing up.
Kalshi also offers a market allowing traders to predict what songs Kendrick Lamar will perform this Sunday.
Sadly, most of my exposure to popular music comes via the Kidz Bop kids, and they don't do a lot of Lamar covers.
A lesser man would make a joke about Drake here, but I refuse.
While I might not have a clue what Lamar will play, our traders are confident that "luther," "DNA," and "All The Stars" will be on the list. However, if you're hoping to hear mAAd city, King Kunta, or Money Trees, it's not looking good.
Weather is often a critical element in football, as teams are forced to factor in its disruptions and adjust their play accordingly. And given its game-changing potential, Kalshi is proud to offer a New Orleans rainfall market for Sunday's championship.
What, it's a domed stadium?
Ah! Well. Nevertheless, it's still a good opportunity for people attending the game to hedge against potential weather-related travel issues. It's also a good way for the city's famous outdoor cafes and curbside escorts to hedge against a rain-related business downturn.
Every year, some people point out that the commercials shown during the 'Big Game' have become just as popular as the game itself. Mind you, I'm not one of those people, because I don't talk about such trite bullshit.
But some people do. And I thank them, because it's a good segue into our Big Game Ads market.
Perennial favorites such as Budweiser and Pepsi are priced near 100%, as is the company that brought you this article, OpenAI.
However, our traders are not as optimistic on other AI/tech companies, such as Apple, Nvidia, and Anthropic, which are trading at 22%, 17%, and 15%, respectively.
And with that, enjoy the Big Game. And while I might not be able to mention your preferred team, rest assured I hope they lose.
Follow Kalshi on X: @KalshiFollow Terry Oldreal on X: @realoldterry
The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author, who is using a pseudonym and cannot trade on Kalshi. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.