Germany and Ivory Coast meet today in Toronto in a Group E showdown, with both teams unbeaten through one match and the winner taking firm control of the group heading into the final round of matches.
Kalshi traders give Germany a 69% chance to win today's match, with a tie at 19% and Ivory Coast at 13%.
For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or World Cup 2026.
For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or the 2026 World Cup.
What's at stake
Both teams won their openers on June 14, leaving Germany and Ivory Coast tied atop Group E on three points apiece, with Germany ahead only on goal difference. A win for either side today would put it in firm control of the group with one match left to play, while a draw would keep both ahead of Curaçao and Ecuador, who meet later today in Kansas City.
Germany routed Curaçao 7-1 in its opener, with Kai Havertz scoring twice, including a penalty, while Felix Nmecha, Nico Schlotterbeck, Jamal Musiala and Nathaniel Brown also scored, per NBC Sports. Substitute Denis Undav added a goal and two assists off the bench. It was an emphatic answer for a team that had been eliminated in the group stage of the last two World Cups.
Ivory Coast needed less style and more patience to beat Ecuador 1-0. Substitute Amad Diallo scored in the 90th minute off a Wilfried Singo assist, ending Ecuador's 19-game unbeaten run, per Sky Sports. It was Ivory Coast's first World Cup win in 12 years.
The bigger picture
Beyond today's match, Germany's odds to win the World Cup sit at 6.2% on Kalshi, down slightly since the Curaçao result. Ivory Coast remains a deep long shot at 0.5%, though that price has climbed from roughly 1 cent to 3 cents today, suggesting some traders see today's match as a chance for Ivory Coast to make a statement on the tournament's bigger stage.
Kalshi markets now predict:
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This article may contain content generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence. It is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, financial, or legal advice. Any opinions or market commentary are not recommendations. Trading involves risk and you should carefully evaluate your financial situation and consult a qualified advisor before making any trading decisions. Kalshi is not affiliated with FIFA or the 2026 World Cup.
