Robert Pattinson has emerged as a leading contender to take over the role of James Bond after a Deadline article revealed he had screen tested for the role.
He now sits at 32% in the Kalshi casting market, just behind Callum Turner’s 34% and ahead of Jack Lowden’s 30%.
Nicholas Hoult and Josh O’Connor, who have both also reportedly screen tested for Bond, are further down at 8% and 5%, respectively.
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Robert Pattinson
Pattinson has attracted a groundswell of internet support since it was announced that he was in the running. His odds have risen to 32%, second in the casting market, though some online worry that his involvement in The Batman franchise will work against him.
Esquire recently published an op-ed deeming him the “perfect James Bond” and waving off any worries about his other commitments. Writer Eric Francisco said, “Pattinson is now the most interesting candidate despite a whiff of overexposure this year…There is truly little common ground between Batman and Bond. But one thing is for sure: If Pattinson gets the part, we are in for a goddamn show.”
A Vogue opinion piece echoed the sentiment, citing both his acting prowess and his IRL persona. “He’s a brilliant actor with a penchant for balancing franchise commitments (Harry Potter to Twilight to The Batman to Dune: Part Three) with big, bonkers swings (Primetime, The Drama, Mickey 17, The Lighthouse). An A-lister who doesn’t take himself—or his press tours—all that seriously. A Brit who has been a global movie star almost since childhood, but still, somehow, feels far from mainstream. Someone who’s dashing and suave, athletic and steely, and entirely of the moment,” Radhika Seth explained.
The Guardian also supported his candidacy. “Hollywood’s weirdest man has entered the fray and the casting decision that has dragged on and on suddenly feels exciting for the first time,” writer Sian Cain wrote.
Still, precedent points to a lesser-known actor taking up the mantle. It remains to be seen how Pattinson’s body of work and relationship with director Denis Villeneuve (who worked with Pattinson on the forthcoming Dune: Part Three) will affect the decision. And, as mentioned in a previous Kalshi News report, many online are also wondering whether he would be a better fit for a treacherous Bond villain rather than 007 himself.
Callum Turner
Turner’s momentum peaked following a Pierce Brosnan endorsement, briefly increasing his odds to a high of 72%, but was soon overshadowed by the announcement of Pattinson’s candidacy. Now, Turner has reclaimed the top spot in the Kalshi market at 34%, just ahead of Pattinson’s 32%.
Prior to the screen test reports, NME reported that many James Bond experts believed Turner had already won the part. After he stepped down from running his production company, a source told The Sun, “Callum is making all the right moves to become the next James Bond. The role is all-consuming and commitment to it is a top priority of the producers.”
Another potential notch in his column is his marriage to pop star Dua Lipa, who is considered a candidate to sing the coveted James Bond theme song.
Jack Lowden
Lowden has led the Kalshi market for large stretches, reaching a high of 64% odds in October 2026. But after Pattinson’s announcement, he has slipped into third place at 30% odds.
Like Turner, Lowden has a famous spouse who could contribute to the Bond franchise. His wife, actress Saoirse Ronan, has gone on record about her desire to play a Bond villain.
Other contenders
O’Connor and Hoult were both named as finalists by various trades reporting on the screen tests, but neither has gained momentum in the Kalshi market. Hoult and O’Connor are in a distant fourth and fifth place at 8% and 5% odds, respectively.
A Variety article from Nov. 6, 2026 also noted that Harry Styles “has had discussions about the part” and that Theo James “also hasn’t been ruled out.” Styles was recently added to the Kalshi market but the volume is still low, while James is trading at 3%.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
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