With only four teams remaining after last weekend’s thrilling divisional round, it’s time for the conference championship games.
While the AFC title game will see New England face off against Denver, Los Angeles and Seattle will do battle for the NFC crown. And since Kalshi markets currently suggest that the winner of the NFC will likely win the championship, let’s take a closer look at what traders are pricing for this pivotal matchup.
Seattle and Los Angeles will kick off from Lumen Field on Sunday, January 25 at 6:30 p.m. ET. Notably, this is the third contest of the season between these squads, which split their previous two matchups. In that same vein, this will also be their third-ever postseason meeting.
Kalshi’s traders are giving Seattle a 59% chance of defeating Los Angeles at home. There is also a 54% chance they win by at least 2.5 points.
Seattle was one of the most dominant teams in football this season. They utilized an efficient offense (28.4 PPG) with an explosive defense (17.2 PPG), and both were on display last weekend, as they trounced rival San Francisco, 41-6.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is powered by a dynamic offense (30.5 PPG) and the likely league MVP in quarterback Matthew Stafford (71.1 QBR). After compiling a prolific 46-8 TD-INT ratio this season, Stafford, a 17-year veteran, has performed well thus far in the playoffs. He and Los Angeles’ offense have orchestrated game-winning drives in each of their past two outings.
Seattle’s talented defense will do all they can to stop Stafford. Seattle allowed only 193.9 YPG passing in 2025. Conversely, quarterback Sam Darnold (56.0 QBR) will be asked to do more than ever with the offense, since Seattle running back Zach Charbonnet (knee) suffered a season-ending injury last weekend against San Francisco.
Los Angeles employs a confident defense of its own. The unit is strong, showcasing a booming front seven, led by reigning Defensive Rookie of the Year Jared Verse (7.5 sacks/11 TFL/27 QB hits). Overall, LA’s defense surrendered 20.4 PPG, which was a top-10 clip in 2025.
As noted, each team has logged a victory over the other in the current campaign. Last November, Los Angeles defeated Seattle at SoFi Stadium by a narrow score of 21-19. Then, Seattle returned the favor in December via overtime, winning 38-37 at Lumen Field.
The takeaway:
Seattle and Los Angeles have been frontrunners to win the NFC for most of the season, and both teams are nearing peak pricing. However, Seattle is the clear favorite to win the conference.
In the pro football championship market, Seattle is viewed as the favorite, trading at 40¢. Further down, Los Angeles has a 27% chance to win their second Lombardi Trophy of the past five years.
Kalshi markets now forecast:
Seattle defeats Los Angeles: 59%
Pro football champion:
(Click here to trade on this Sunday’s conference championship games)
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