Packers vs. Steelers odds: Green Bay favored as Aaron Rodgers faces his former team

The Green Bay Packers open the 2026 preseason on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers Thursday, with kickoff set for 7:00 p.m. ET at Acrisure Stadium. Kalshi has Green Bay as a 59% favorite to beat Pittsburgh, as of this writing, in quarterback Aaron Rodgers' first game against the franchise he spent 18 seasons with.

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Each team reached the playoffs last year. Green Bay finished 9-7-1 and made the postseason as the NFC's No. 7 seed, while Pittsburgh went 10-7, won the AFC North, and lost to Houston 30-6 in the Wild Card round. Green Bay routed Rodgers and the Steelers 35-25 in last year's regular-season meeting.

Kalshi gives Green Bay a 53% probability of winning by more than 2.5 points, as of this writing.

Kalshi has a 54% probability the two teams combine for more than 39.5 points, as of this writing.

The clearest angle heading into kickoff is whether Rodgers actually plays his old team. Rodgers has said he sees no real advantage in playing preseason games, and Steelers coach Mike McCarthy was non-committal on his plans for Thursday when asked directly. Green Bay is taking the opposite approach: quarterback Jordan Love is planning to play at least a series or two, and coach Matt LaFleur is expected to get most of the first-team offense some work behind him. That offense will be without running back Josh Jacobs, however — LaFleur said this week Jacobs is out with a groin injury and won't suit up Thursday.

Green Bay will be without its highest-profile addition regardless of who else plays. Edge rusher Micah Parsons remains on the physically unable to perform list as he continues recovering from last season's torn ACL and is not expected to suit up.

Beyond the two locker rooms, the game carries real personal history. McCarthy coached Parsons in Dallas from 2021-24, and Pittsburgh receiver Michael Pittman Jr. and Packers linebacker Zaire Franklin share a Philadelphia-area background. Green Bay has scored 27-plus points in six of its last seven meetings with Pittsburgh.

Kalshi has the Packers at 27% to win the NFC North Division, as of this writing.

Kalshi has the Steelers at 15% to win the AFC North Division, as of this writing.

When is Packers vs. Steelers? Thursday, August 13, 2026, with kickoff at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Where is the game? Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How can I watch? Nationally on NFL Network, regionally on KDKA-TV.
What is Kalshi's current number? Green Bay is a 59% favorite over Pittsburgh, as of this writing.

Green Bay enters as the favorite in Aaron Rodgers' first look at the franchise he spent nearly two decades with.

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