The Kansas City Royals (45-63) visit the Minnesota Twins (54-54) at Target Field on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, game two of a three-game series. Kalshi's market has Minnesota at 64% and Kansas City at 36%, as of this writing.
Minnesota has won three straight and sits third in the AL Central, while Kansas City has lost three of five and sits last in the division.
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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: July 29, 2026
Kalshi traders have the Twins as a clear favorite, in line with Minnesota's recent surge. Injury-wise, the Twins are without center fielder Byron Buxton, day-to-day with a hip issue, while the Royals are missing shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., on the 10-day injured list with a back injury, and first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino, day-to-day with a hand issue, per Bleacher Nation.
Randy Dobnak takes the mound for Kansas City, making his third start of the season with a 1.42 ERA across four appearances. Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota at 6-6 with a 3.38 ERA over 21 games, though his last outing saw him allow eight earned runs in four innings against Cleveland, per Bleacher Nation.
Minnesota is batting .236 with 25 extra-base hits over its last 10 games, while Kansas City is hitting .222 with 27 extra-base hits over the same stretch, per Bleacher Nation.
The AL Central race
Minnesota's win streak matters beyond tonight's game, too. Traders give the White Sox 39% to win the AL Central, with Cleveland at 35% and the Twins at 20%, while the Royals sit far back in the field.
The bigger picture: Joe Ryan's next-team odds
Ryan takes the mound tonight carrying his own market. Kalshi now prices Minnesota at 80% to remain his team past the deadline, up 15 points recently, with the Chicago Cubs a distant second at 10% and Atlanta at 6%. See the live market on Kalshi.
Kalshi markets now predict:
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